PSV vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:30 UK

PSV vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction (Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:30 UK): PSV 55% · Draw 20% · Feyenoord Rotterdam 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%. Most likely score: 2-1. Expected goals 2.39–1.60. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 64%, No 36%. Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).

Published Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

PSV vs Feyenoord preview

PSV (3rd, 19 pts) host Feyenoord (1st, 23 pts) in the Eredivisie. PSV have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (WLLWL) and Feyenoord 12 points from 5 (LWWWW), so Feyenoord arrive in clearly better form. PSV: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 30 league games.

Our model favours PSV at 55% to Feyenoord's 25%. Expected goals are 2.39 for PSV and 1.60 for Feyenoord, and the most likely score is 2-1 (8%).

The goal markets sit close to the Eredivisie norm: Over 2.5 at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. In their last 5 meetings, PSV won 4, Feyenoord didn't win any and 1 ended level; all had over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 76%, which still fails about 2 times in 10.

Who will win PSV vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

PSV are clear favourites at 55%, with Feyenoord Rotterdam at 25%. Recent form: PSV WLLWLW, Feyenoord Rotterdam LWWWWW (latest first).

PSV won 3 of 4 home games this season.

PSV

55%

Draw

20%

Feyenoord Rotterdam

25%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 goals is likely at 76%.

Over 2.5 in 8 of 9 PSV games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	91%	9%	1.10
2.5 goals	76%	24%	1.32
3.5 goals	56%	44%	1.78

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 64% chance: PSV score in about 91% of simulated outcomes and Feyenoord Rotterdam in about 80%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 8 of 9 PSV games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	64%	1.56
No	36%	2.78

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
PSV win	55%	1.82
Draw	20%	5.03
Feyenoord Rotterdam win	25%	3.99
Over 2.5	76%	1.32
Under 2.5	24%	4.15

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 4.0 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: PSV goals (rows) × Feyenoord Rotterdam goals (columns)
PSV \ Feyenoord	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	0%
1	4%	7%	6%	3%	1%	0%
2	5%	8%	7%	4%	1%	0%
3	4%	7%	5%	3%	1%	0%
4	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%	0%
5	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%
Other	4% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

2-1

1-1

2-2

3-1

1-2

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have PSV and Feyenoord played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

PSV, last 5

PSV, last 5 at home

Feyenoord, last 5

Feyenoord, last 5 away

Current streaks

PSV: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 30 league games.
Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
Feyenoord: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 8 league games.
Feyenoord have won each of their last 5 league games.

Eredivisie games only, runs of three or more. PSV and Feyenoord.

How PSV and Feyenoord compare this season

Stat	PSV (home, 4)	Feyenoord (away, 5)	Eredivisie average
Over 1.5	100% (4/4)	80% (4/5)	91%
Over 2.5	75% (3/4)	80% (4/5)	75%
Over 3.5	75% (3/4)	80% (4/5)	63%
BTTS	75% (3/4)	60% (3/5)	72%
Win %	75% (3/4)	100% (5/5)	32% home · 40% away
Goals for per game	3.25	4.00	1.92
Goals against per game	1.00	1.20	1.92

Eredivisie average from 81 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Eredivisie table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
PSV	3	19	9
Feyenoord	1	23	9

Full Eredivisie table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: PSV 4 wins, 1 draw, Feyenoord 0 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5; both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 1 Feb 2026	Eredivisie	PSV v Feyenoord	3–0
Sun, 26 Oct 2025	Eredivisie	Feyenoord v PSV	2–3
Sun, 11 May 2025	Eredivisie	Feyenoord v PSV	2–3
Sun, 22 Dec 2024	Eredivisie	PSV v Feyenoord	3–0
Sun, 3 Mar 2024	Eredivisie	PSV v Feyenoord	2–2

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win PSV v Feyenoord?: Our model makes PSV the more likely winner at 55%: PSV 55%, draw 20%, Feyenoord 25%. PSV won 3 of 4 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in PSV v Feyenoord?: Over 2.5 goals is 76% and under 2.5 is 24%, with expected goals of 4.0. Over 2.5 in 8 of 9 PSV games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 2-1 at 8%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have PSV and Feyenoord played recently?: Latest first: PSV WLLWL, Feyenoord LWWWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Eredivisie predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Eredivisie predictions

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