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Feyenoord Rotterdam crest Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como 1907 Como 1907 crest prediction

Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 17:45 UK

Full-time: Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–2 Como 1907 (Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 17:45 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Feyenoord Rotterdam a 37% chance of winning, and the exact score 3–2 a 3% chance. The model's favourite came through, though with only a modest edge.

5 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

Scores are after 90 minutes; extra time and penalties are not counted.

How each market was graded

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como 1907 prediction (Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 17:45 UK): Feyenoord Rotterdam 37% · Draw 25% · Como 1907 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.48–1.48. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 56%, No 44%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Feyenoord vs Como 1907 pre-match preview

Feyenoord host Como 1907 in the Champions League. Feyenoord have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (WWWLW) and Como 1907 10 points from 5 (DLWWW). Como 1907: both teams scored in each of their last 3 Champions League games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Feyenoord 37%, Como 1907 37%. Expected goals are 1.48 for Feyenoord and 1.48 for Como 1907, and the most likely score is 1-1 (12%).

Over 2.5 goals is 57%, below the Champions League rate of 74%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Champions League match.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 57%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como 1907?

This is close to a coin flip: Feyenoord Rotterdam 37%, Como 1907 37%, with the draw at 25%. Recent form: Feyenoord Rotterdam WWWLWD, Como 1907 DLWWWW (latest first).

Model expects 3.0 total goals.

Feyenoord Rotterdam37%
Draw25%
Como 190737%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 57% and Under 2.5 is 43%.

Over 2.5 in all 3 Como 1907 games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals80%20%1.25
2.5 goals57%43%1.76
3.5 goals34%66%2.92

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance: Feyenoord Rotterdam score in about 77% of simulated outcomes and Como 1907 in about 77%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 3 Como 1907 games this season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes56%1.77
No44%2.30

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Feyenoord Rotterdam win37%2.68
Draw25%3.94
Como 1907 win37%2.68
Over 2.557%1.76
Under 2.543%2.31

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.0 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Feyenoord Rotterdam goals (rows) × Como 1907 goals (columns)
Feyenoord \ Como012345
06%7%6%3%1%0%
17%12%8%4%2%0%
26%8%6%3%1%0%
33%4%3%2%1%0%
41%2%1%1%0%0%
50%0%0%0%0%0%
Other1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-112%
2-18%
1-28%
1-07%
0-17%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Feyenoord and Como 1907 played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Feyenoord, last 5
  1. W 2–0 v AZ
  2. W 5–0 v Utrecht
  3. W 7–0 at Zwolle
  4. L 1–5 at Barça
  5. W 3–1 at NEC
Feyenoord, last 5 at home
  1. W 2–0 v AZ
  2. W 5–0 v Utrecht
  3. D 2–2 v Den Haag
  4. D 2–2 v Go Ahead
  5. D 1–1 v AZ
Como 1907, last 5
  1. D 0–0 v Roma
  2. L 0–2 at Frosinone
  3. W 2–1 v Parma
  4. W 4–1 v Leipzig
  5. W 4–1 at Genoa
Como 1907, last 5 away
  1. L 0–2 at Frosinone
  2. W 4–1 at Genoa
  3. W 2–1 at Napoli
  4. D 1–1 at Udinese
  5. W 4–1 at Cremonese

Current streaks

Champions League games only, runs of three or more. Feyenoord and Como 1907.

How Feyenoord and Como 1907 compare this season

StatFeyenoord (home, 1)Como 1907 (away, 1)Champions League average
Over 1.5100% (1/1)100% (1/1)87%
Over 2.5100% (1/1)100% (1/1)74%
Over 3.5100% (1/1)100% (1/1)63%
BTTS100% (1/1)100% (1/1)67%
Win %100% (1/1)0% (0/1)59% home · 30% away
Goals for per game3.002.002.05
Goals against per game2.003.002.05

Champions League average from 54 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Feyenoord v Como 1907?
Our model makes Feyenoord the more likely winner at 37%: Feyenoord 37%, draw 25%, Como 1907 37%. Model expects 3.0 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Feyenoord v Como 1907?
Over 2.5 goals is 57% and under 2.5 is 43%, with expected goals of 3.0. Over 2.5 in all 3 Como 1907 games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 12%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Feyenoord and Como 1907 played recently?
Latest first: Feyenoord WWWLW, Como 1907 DLWWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

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Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
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