Lincoln City FC vs West Ham United FC prediction

Championship · Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK

Full-time: Lincoln City FC 0–6 West Ham United FC (Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave West Ham United FC a 53% chance of winning. The outcome the model rated most likely happened.

3 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

1X2 (match result): pick away (53%)Correct
Over/Under 1.5: pick over (71%)Correct
Over/Under 2.5: pick under (55%)Incorrect
Over/Under 3.5: pick under (77%)Incorrect
Both teams to score: pick yes (51%)Incorrect
Correct score: pick 0-1 (13%)Incorrect
Double chance: pick X2 (79%)Correct

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Lincoln City FC vs West Ham United FC prediction (Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Lincoln City FC 21% · Draw 26% · West Ham United FC 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 0-1. Expected goals 0.89–1.57. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 51%, No 49%. Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%).

Published Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Lincoln City vs West Ham pre-match preview

Lincoln City (18th, 12 pts) host West Ham (2nd, 22 pts) in the Championship. Lincoln City have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (LLWWD) and West Ham 11 points from 5 (DDWWW). West Ham are unbeaten in their last 9 league games.

Our model makes West Ham clear favourites at 53%, with Lincoln City at 21%. Expected goals are 0.89 for Lincoln City and 1.57 for West Ham, and the most likely score is 0-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 55%, while 61% of Championship matches go over 2.5.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 55%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Lincoln City FC vs West Ham United FC?

West Ham United FC are clear favourites at 53%, with Lincoln City FC at 21%. Recent form: Lincoln City FC LLWWDD, West Ham United FC DDWWWW (latest first).

Lincoln City lost 3 of 5 home games this season.

Lincoln City FC

21%

Draw

26%

West Ham United FC

53%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 55%; Over 2.5 is 45%.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	71%	29%	1.41
2.5 goals	45%	55%	2.25
3.5 goals	23%	77%	4.28

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance: Lincoln City FC score in about 59% of simulated outcomes and West Ham United FC in about 79%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 4 of 6 West Ham away games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	51%	1.97
No	49%	2.03

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Lincoln City FC win	21%	4.77
Draw	26%	3.79
West Ham United FC win	53%	1.90
Over 2.5	45%	2.25
Under 2.5	55%	1.80

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Lincoln City FC goals (rows) × West Ham United FC goals (columns)
Lincoln \ West	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9%	13%	10%	5%	2%	1%
1	7%	12%	9%	5%	2%	1%
2	3%	5%	4%	2%	1%	0%
3	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%
4	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

0-1

13%

1-1

12%

0-2

10%

1-2

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Lincoln City and West Ham played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Lincoln City, last 5

Lincoln City, last 5 at home

West Ham, last 5

West Ham, last 5 away

Current streaks

West Ham are unbeaten in their last 9 league games.
Lincoln City: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Lincoln City: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Lincoln City have not won in their last 4 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Lincoln City and West Ham.

How Lincoln City and West Ham compare this season

Stat	Lincoln City (home, 5)	West Ham (away, 6)	Championship average
Over 1.5	80% (4/5)	83% (5/6)	77%
Over 2.5	60% (3/5)	67% (4/6)	61%
Over 3.5	40% (2/5)	67% (4/6)	36%
BTTS	60% (3/5)	67% (4/6)	64%
Win %	0% (0/5)	50% (3/6)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	0.60	2.50	1.44
Goals against per game	2.40	1.17	1.44

Championship average from 132 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Lincoln City	18	12	11
West Ham	2	22	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lincoln City v West Ham?: Our model makes West Ham the more likely winner at 53%: Lincoln City 21%, draw 26%, West Ham 53%. Lincoln City lost 3 of 5 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lincoln City v West Ham?: Over 2.5 goals is 45% and under 2.5 is 55%, with expected goals of 2.5. Model expects 2.5 total goals.
What is the most likely score?: 0-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Lincoln City and West Ham played recently?: Latest first: Lincoln City LLWWD, West Ham DDWWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Championship predictions

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