Football data studies

Living studies by the ProbaPredict Data Desk, recomputed daily from our match data. Each has a monthly archived edition, downloadable aggregated data (CC BY 4.0) and embeddable charts. A new study is released at the start of each month.

• Our Model vs the Bookmakers: 18,807 Matches TestedClosing odds were 2.8% more accurate than our model across 18,807 matches.18,807 matches · 2022-23 to 2025-26
• Which Football League Is the Most Predictable?The Primeira Liga was the most predictable league; the Championship the least.16,627 matches · 2021-22 to 2025-26

Press and data: headline numbers, citations and monthly press summaries.

18+. Statistical findings, not betting advice. BeGambleAware.org · GamStop