About ProbaPredict

ProbaPredict publishes probabilities, not tips. For 10 football competitions we estimate the chance of a home win, a draw, an away win and Over/Under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals, publish those numbers before kick-off and grade them after full time.

Content is produced by the ProbaPredict Data Desk, which maintains the model and the data pipeline. Pages are generated from the model's output; the wording is chosen by fixed rules, so the same numbers always produce the same description.

What we do not do

• We do not promise winners or sell tips.
• We do not hide losing picks.
• We do not publish numbers we have not calculated.

Read the methodology, our editorial policy and the accuracy record.