Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC prediction

Championship · Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK

Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC prediction (Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK): Charlton Athletic FC 32% · Draw 28% · Norwich City FC 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.15–1.31. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 52%, No 48%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-0 (9%).

Published Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Charlton vs Norwich preview

Charlton (17th, 14 pts) host Norwich (21st, 9 pts) in the Championship. Charlton have taken 3 points from their last 5 games (LDDLD) and Norwich 0 points from 5 (LLLLL). Charlton have not won in their last 8 league games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Charlton 32%, Norwich 40%. Expected goals are 1.15 for Charlton and 1.31 for Norwich, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 55%, while 61% of Championship matches go over 2.5.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 55%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC?

This is close to a coin flip: Charlton Athletic FC 32%, Norwich City FC 40%, with the draw at 28%. Recent form: Charlton Athletic FC LDDLDD, Norwich City FC LLLLLW (latest first).

Charlton have not won in their last 8 league games.

Charlton Athletic FC

32%

Draw

28%

Norwich City FC

40%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 55%; Over 2.5 is 45%.

Under 2.5 in 4 of 5 Charlton home games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	71%	29%	1.41
2.5 goals	45%	55%	2.24
3.5 goals	23%	77%	4.26

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance: Charlton Athletic FC score in about 68% of simulated outcomes and Norwich City FC in about 73%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 7 of 11 Norwich games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	52%	1.92
No	48%	2.08

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Charlton Athletic FC win	32%	3.12
Draw	28%	3.57
Norwich City FC win	40%	2.51
Over 2.5	45%	2.24
Under 2.5	55%	1.81

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Charlton Athletic FC goals (rows) × Norwich City FC goals (columns)
Charlton \ Norwich	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9%	11%	7%	3%	1%	0%
1	9%	13%	8%	4%	1%	0%
2	6%	7%	5%	2%	1%	0%
3	2%	3%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

0-1

11%

1-0

0-0

1-2

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Charlton and Norwich played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Current streaks

Charlton have not won in their last 8 league games.
Norwich have lost each of their last 5 league games.
Norwich have not won in their last 5 league games.
Charlton: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Charlton and Norwich.

How Charlton and Norwich compare this season

Stat	Charlton (home, 5)	Norwich (away, 5)	Championship average
Over 1.5	40% (2/5)	80% (4/5)	77%
Over 2.5	20% (1/5)	80% (4/5)	61%
Over 3.5	0% (0/5)	40% (2/5)	36%
BTTS	40% (2/5)	60% (3/5)	64%
Win %	40% (2/5)	20% (1/5)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	0.80	1.40	1.44
Goals against per game	0.40	2.20	1.44

Championship average from 132 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Charlton	17	14	11
Norwich	21	9	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Charlton 0 wins, 0 draws, Norwich 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 0 of 2; both teams scored in 0 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sat, 21 Mar 2026	Championship	Charlton v Norwich	0–1
Fri, 26 Dec 2025	Championship	Norwich v Charlton	1–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Charlton v Norwich?: Our model makes Norwich the more likely winner at 40%: Charlton 32%, draw 28%, Norwich 40%. Charlton have not won in their last 8 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Charlton v Norwich?: Over 2.5 goals is 45% and under 2.5 is 55%, with expected goals of 2.5. Under 2.5 in 4 of 5 Charlton home games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Charlton and Norwich played recently?: Latest first: Charlton LDDLD, Norwich LLLLL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Championship predictions

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