Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC 
prediction
Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK): Swansea City AFC 44% · Draw 26% · Norwich City FC 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.56–1.23. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 13:12 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC?
Swansea City AFC are favoured at 44%, but the draw and a Norwich City FC win together still account for 56%. Recent form: Swansea City AFC WWLDWW, Norwich City FC LLWWLW (latest first).
Swansea City AFC
44%
Draw
26%
Norwich City FC
29%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 53% and Under 2.5 is 47%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 77% | 23% | 1.29 |
| 2.5 goals | 53% | 47% | 1.89 |
| 3.5 goals | 31% | 69% | 3.27 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea City AFC win | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Norwich City FC win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
Form and head-to-head
Swansea City AFC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.8
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Championship Derby County0Swansea3Derby County0–3Swansea | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 1 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipSwansea2 Watford0Swansea2–0Watford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipSwansea0 Wrexham0Swansea0–0Wrexham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Southampton3Swansea1Southampton3–1Swansea | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipSwansea3 Burnley1Swansea3–1Burnley | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Lincoln City1Swansea2Lincoln City1–2Swansea | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Norwich City FC: last 6
Goals per game: 2.5
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · ChampionshipNorwich4Burnley1Norwich4–1Burnley | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 1 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Stoke1Norwich0Stoke1–0Norwich | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Sheffield Utd1Norwich3Sheffield Utd1–3Norwich | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 9 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipNorwich2 Birmingham1Norwich2–1Birmingham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Middlesbrough4Norwich3Middlesbrough4–3Norwich | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipNorwich3 Bolton4Norwich3–4Bolton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
| Sat, 25 Oct 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · ChampionshipSwansea2Norwich1Swansea2–1Norwich | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 25 Apr 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipNorwich1Swansea1Norwich1–1Swansea | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
1-1
13%
2-1
9%
1-0
9%
2-0
7%
1-2
7%
Related
- Swansea City AFC
- Norwich City FC
- Championship predictions
- Championship Home win
- Championship Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 63% | 24% | 13% | 45% | U3.5 77% | 71% | 23% | |
12:30 · Championship West BromBirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 36% | 31% | 33% | 37% | U3.5 82% | 65% | 18% | |
12:30 · Championship Charlton Bristol CityCharltonvBristol City | 33% | 31% | 36% | 38% | U3.5 82% | 66% | 18% | |