West Bromwich Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC 
prediction
Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK
West Bromwich Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK): West Bromwich Albion FC 39% · Draw 30% · Birmingham City FC 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.19–1.04. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win West Bromwich Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC?
This is close to a coin flip: West Bromwich Albion FC 39%, Birmingham City FC 31%, with the draw at 30%. Recent form: West Bromwich Albion FC LDWWDL, Birmingham City FC DWLDDW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 62%; Over 2.5 is 38%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 66% | 34% | 1.52 |
| 2.5 goals | 38% | 62% | 2.60 |
| 3.5 goals | 19% | 81% | 5.39 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion FC win | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 |
| Birmingham City FC win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
Form and head-to-head
West Bromwich Albion FC: last 6
Goals per game: 0.8
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Championship Middlesbrough3West Brom1Middlesbrough3–1West Brom | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 2 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipWest Brom1 Charlton1West Brom1–1Charlton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipWest Brom1 Watford0West Brom1–0Watford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 9 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Derby County0West Brom1Derby County0–1West Brom | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipWest Brom1 QPR1West Brom1–1QPR | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Wolves1West Brom0Wolves1–0West Brom | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Birmingham City FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.7
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 28 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Championship Wrexham1Birmingham2Wrexham1–2Birmingham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 1 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipBirmingham1 Southampton1Birmingham1–1Southampton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipBirmingham2Wolves2Birmingham2–2Wolves | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 9 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Norwich2Birmingham1Norwich2–1Birmingham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipDerby County1Birmingham2Derby County1–2Birmingham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipBirmingham2Middlesbrough2Birmingham2–2Middlesbrough | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Wed, 26 Nov 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · ChampionshipWest Brom1Birmingham1West Brom1–1Birmingham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 10 Feb 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipBirmingham0West Brom0Birmingham0–0West Brom | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- West Bromwich Albion FC
- Birmingham City FC
- Championship predictions
- Championship Home win
- Championship Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship SwanseaNorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 30% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |
12:30 · ChampionshipCharlton Bristol CityCharltonvBristol City | 33% | 30% | 37% | 38% | U3.5 82% | 65% | 18% | |