ProbaPredict

Charlton Athletic FC crest Charlton Athletic FC vs Bristol City FC Bristol City FC crest prediction

Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK

Charlton Athletic FC vs Bristol City FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK): Charlton Athletic FC 33% · Draw 30% · Bristol City FC 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.07–1.14. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 22:15 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 50%, No 50%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%).

Published · Updated

Who will win Charlton Athletic FC vs Bristol City FC?

This is close to a coin flip: Charlton Athletic FC 33%, Bristol City FC 37%, with the draw at 30%. Recent form: Charlton Athletic FC LDDLDW, Bristol City FC WLLWWW (latest first).

Charlton Athletic FC33%
Draw30%
Bristol City FC37%

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 62%; Over 2.5 is 38%.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals65%35%1.53
2.5 goals38%62%2.64
3.5 goals18%82%5.49

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 50% chance: Charlton Athletic FC score in about 66% of simulated outcomes and Bristol City FC in about 68%, and both need to happen.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes50%2.00
No50%2.00

BTTS predictions today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Charlton Athletic FC win33%3.02
Draw30%3.32
Bristol City FC win37%2.72
Over 2.538%2.64
Under 2.562%1.61

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Charlton Athletic FC and Bristol City FC previous meetings
Sat, 16 Aug 2025
FT · ChampionshipBristol City FC crestBristol City0Charlton Athletic FC crestCharlton0––––––––
Fri, 3 Apr 2026
FT · ChampionshipCharlton Athletic FC crestCharlton1Bristol City FC crestBristol City2––––––––

Charlton Athletic FC — last 6 matches

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Sat, 19 Sept 2026Cardiff City FCAway1–3L
Sat, 12 Sept 2026Portsmouth FCHome0–0D
Wed, 9 Sept 2026Queens Park Rangers FCHome0–0D
Sat, 5 Sept 2026Stoke City FCAway0–4L
Wed, 2 Sept 2026West Bromwich Albion FCAway1–1D
Sat, 29 Aug 2026Preston North End FCHome1–0W

Bristol City FC — last 6 matches

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Fri, 18 Sept 2026Watford FCHome1–0W
Tue, 15 Sept 2026Lincoln City FCHome0–1L
Sat, 12 Sept 2026Southampton FCAway1–4L
Sat, 5 Sept 2026Burnley FCAway2–1W
Tue, 1 Sept 2026Preston North End FCAway3–1W
Sat, 29 Aug 2026Portsmouth FCHome2–1W

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Correct score probabilities: Charlton Athletic FC goals (rows) × Bristol City FC goals (columns)
Charlton \ Bristol012345
012%12%7%3%1%0%
111%14%8%3%1%0%
26%7%4%2%0%0%
32%3%1%1%0%0%
41%1%0%0%0%0%
50%0%0%0%0%0%
Other0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-114%
0-112%
0-012%
1-011%
1-28%

Correct score predictions today

Related

Other matches the same day

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Other matches the same day
Sat, 10 Oct 2026
12:30 · Premier LeagueArsenal FC crestArsenalLeeds United FC crestLeeds62%24%13%41%50%U3.5 79%68%21%
12:30 · ChampionshipWest Bromwich Albion FC crestWest BromBirmingham City FC crestBirmingham39%30%31%38%50%U3.5 81%66%19%
12:30 · ChampionshipSwansea City AFC crestSwanseaNorwich City FC crestNorwich44%26%31%54%55%O1.5 78%78%32%