Win & over 2.5 predictions today
Football predictions for win & over 2.5, ranked from the highest model probability down.
Win & Over 2.5 needs both parts in one result: one team wins and the match has three or more goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. What does Over 2.5 goals mean?
46% is the highest Win & Over 2.5 probability today: VfB Stuttgart win & Over 2.5 in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach, from ProbaPredict's statistical model.
These are today's Win & Over 2.5 predictions, ranked by the model's probability that both parts happen. Combination picks are not graded yet, so read them as the model's numbers, not a track record.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fair odds | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||||||
FT · BundesligaBundesliga  | Stuttgart46%✕ | 2.16 | O1.586%✓ | 65%✕ | 19%✕ | 16%✓ | 68%✓ | 86%✓ | 46%✓ | 61%✓ |
19:00 · EredivisieEredivisie  | Go Ahead35% | 2.85 | O1.584% | 51% | 23% | 26% | 63% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
20:45 · PrimeiraPrimeira Liga  | Vitória29% | 3.49 | O1.574% | 49% | 26% | 25% | 49% | 74% | 27% | 51% |
20:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | Nottingham28% | 3.53 | O1.579% | 30% | 26% | 44% | 55% | 79% | 33% | 58% |
20:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | Alavés28% | 3.53 | U3.575% | 50% | 26% | 23% | 47% | 72% | 25% | 52% |
19:45 · Ligue 1Ligue 1  | Brest27% | 3.64 | O1.577% | 45% | 26% | 29% | 52% | 77% | 30% | 56% |
20:00 · EFL ChampChampionship  | Middlesbrough27% | 3.68 | O1.580% | 33% | 25% | 42% | 57% | 80% | 34% | 56% |
19:45 · Serie ASerie A  | Torino27% | 3.74 | O1.575% | 46% | 26% | 28% | 49% | 75% | 27% | 52% |
How do our Win & Over 2.5 predictions work?
This is a combination: it needs both parts at once, one team wins and the match has three or more goals, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. For example, 3-0, 2-1 and 4-1 count for the home side; 2-0, 1-0 and every draw do not. For each match we show the likelier side.
Our model rates every team's attack and defence from recent results, adds home advantage and gives every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10 a probability. A combination is simply the sum of the scorelines where every part is true, so it always agrees with the other numbers on the match page: it can never be higher than either part on its own.
Fair odds are 100 divided by the percentage: 35% equals 2.86, with no bookmaker margin. Combinations pay more because both parts must happen, which is exactly why they land less often. A 35% combination still fails nearly two times in three. These picks are not graded yet, so there is no public record for them; the single-market pages show our graded record.
New to this? Read: What does Over 2.5 goals mean? · What is 1X2 in football betting?
These football predictions rank matches by probability while keeping the uncertainty visible.
More football predictions
Frequently asked questions
- What is the most likely Win & Over 2.5 pick today?
- Stuttgart win & Over 2.5 in Stuttgart v Gladbach at 46% (fair odds 2.16). Both parts must happen, so a 46% combination still fails about 5 times in 10.
- How is the Win & Over 2.5 probability calculated?
- Our model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results, adds home advantage, and builds a probability for every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10. The market probability adds up every scoreline that wins it.
- How accurate are your Win & Over 2.5 predictions?
- Combination picks are not graded yet, so there is no record for them; each part (the result, BTTS, Over 2.5) has its own graded record on our accuracy page. Every ProbaPredict pick is graded in public after full time, including the ones that lose.