Eredivisie · Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK
Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963 prediction (Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK): Go Ahead Eagles 51% · Draw 23% · Telstar 1963 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.91–1.32. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 60%, No 40%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%).
Published · Updated
By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.
Go Ahead vs Telstar preview
Go Ahead (9th, 11 pts) host Telstar (16th, 6 pts) in the Eredivisie. Go Ahead have taken 4 points from their last 5 games (LDDDD) and Telstar 2 points from 5 (LDLDL). Go Ahead: both teams scored in each of their last 12 league games.
Our model favours Go Ahead at 51% to Telstar's 26%. Expected goals are 1.91 for Go Ahead and 1.32 for Telstar, and the most likely score is 1-1 (10%).
Over 2.5 goals is 63%, below the Eredivisie rate of 75%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Eredivisie match.
Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 63%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.
Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963?
Go Ahead Eagles are favoured at 51%, but the draw and a Telstar 1963 win together still account for 49%. Recent form: Go Ahead Eagles LDDDDL, Telstar 1963 LDLDLD (latest first).
Telstar have not won in their last 8 league games.
New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 63% and Under 2.5 is 37%.
Over 2.5 in 7 of 9 Go Ahead games this season.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 84% | 16% | 1.20 |
| 2.5 goals | 63% | 37% | 1.60 |
| 3.5 goals | 40% | 60% | 2.47 |
What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance: Go Ahead Eagles score in about 85% of simulated outcomes and Telstar 1963 in about 74%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in all 9 Go Ahead games this season.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.50 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 |
| Telstar 1963 win | 26% | 3.81 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Model expects 3.2 total goals.
| Go \ Telstar | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 1 | 7% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| 2 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 2% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today
How have Go Ahead and Telstar played recently?
Latest first. Scores link to each match.
Current streaks
- Go Ahead: both teams scored in each of their last 12 league games.
- Go Ahead: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 league games.
- Telstar have not won in their last 8 league games.
- Go Ahead have not won in their last 6 league games.
Eredivisie games only, runs of three or more. Go Ahead and Telstar.
How Go Ahead and Telstar compare this season
| Stat | Go Ahead (home, 4) | Telstar (away, 4) | Eredivisie average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 100% (4/4) | 25% (1/4) | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/4) | 63% |
| BTTS | 100% (4/4) | 25% (1/4) | 72% |
| Win % | 50% (2/4) | 25% (1/4) | 32% home · 40% away |
| Goals for per game | 2.75 | 0.50 | 1.92 |
| Goals against per game | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.92 |
Eredivisie average from 81 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.
Eredivisie table
| Team | Pos | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| Telstar | 16 | 6 | 9 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Go Ahead 0 wins, 1 draw, Telstar 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 2; both teams scored in 2 of 2.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 8 Feb 2026 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead v Telstar | 1–1 |
| Sun, 28 Sept 2025 | Eredivisie | Telstar v Go Ahead | 4–2 |
90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Go Ahead v Telstar?
- Our model makes Go Ahead the more likely winner at 51%: Go Ahead 51%, draw 23%, Telstar 26%. Telstar have not won in their last 8 league games.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals in Go Ahead v Telstar?
- Over 2.5 goals is 63% and under 2.5 is 37%, with expected goals of 3.2. Over 2.5 in 7 of 9 Go Ahead games this season.
- What is the most likely score?
- 1-1 at 10%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How have Go Ahead and Telstar played recently?
- Latest first: Go Ahead LDDDD, Telstar LDLDL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Related
- Go Ahead Eagles
- Telstar 1963
- Eredivisie predictions
- Eredivisie table
- Eredivisie Home win
- Eredivisie Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Upcoming Eredivisie predictions
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.585% | 63% | 20% | 17% | 65% | 85% | 43% | 59% |
17:45 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.583% | 36% | 24% | 39% | 61% | 83% | 39% | 60% |
20:00 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.581% | 34% | 25% | 41% | 59% | 81% | 37% | 59% |
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
11:15 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.581% | 44% | 25% | 31% | 59% | 81% | 37% | 59% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.585% | 52% | 22% | 25% | 65% | 85% | 43% | 60% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.591% | 55% | 20% | 25% | 76% | 91% | 56% | 64% |
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 · BundesligaBundesliga  | O1.586% | 65% | 19% | 16% | 68% | 86% | 46% | 61% |
19:45 · Serie ASerie A  | O1.575% | 46% | 26% | 28% | 49% | 75% | 27% | 52% |
19:45 · Ligue 1Ligue 1  | O1.577% | 45% | 26% | 29% | 52% | 77% | 30% | 56% |
20:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | U3.575% | 50% | 26% | 23% | 47% | 72% | 25% | 52% |
20:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.579% | 30% | 26% | 44% | 55% | 79% | 33% | 58% |