Eredivisie · Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK
Full-time: Telstar 1963 3–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Feyenoord Rotterdam a 57% chance of winning, and the exact score 3–4 a 1% chance. The outcome the model rated most likely happened.
5 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.
How each market was graded
- 1X2 (match result): pick away (57%)Correct
- Both teams to score: pick yes (59%)Correct
- Correct score: pick 1-1 (10%)Incorrect
- Double chance: pick X2 (79%)Correct
- Over/Under 1.5: pick over (84%)Correct
- Over/Under 2.5: pick over (63%)Correct
- Over/Under 3.5: pick under (60%)Incorrect
Published before kick-off, unchanged
Telstar 1963 vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK): Telstar 1963 21% · Draw 22% · Feyenoord Rotterdam 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.18–2.05. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 59%, No 41%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%).
Published · Updated
By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.
Telstar vs Feyenoord pre-match preview
Telstar (16th, 6 pts) host Feyenoord (1st, 23 pts) in the Eredivisie. Telstar have taken 3 points from their last 5 games (DLDLD) and Feyenoord 12 points from 5 (WWWWL), so Feyenoord arrive in clearly better form. Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
Our model makes Feyenoord clear favourites at 57%, with Telstar at 21%. Expected goals are 1.18 for Telstar and 2.05 for Feyenoord, and the most likely score is 1-1 (10%).
Over 2.5 goals is 63%, below the Eredivisie rate of 75%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Eredivisie match.
Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 63%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.
Who will win Telstar 1963 vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?
Feyenoord Rotterdam are clear favourites at 57%, with Telstar 1963 at 21%. Recent form: Telstar 1963 DLDLDL, Feyenoord Rotterdam WWWWLW (latest first).
Feyenoord won all 5 away games this season.
New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 63% and Under 2.5 is 37%.
Over 2.5 in all 5 Telstar home games this season.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 84% | 16% | 1.20 |
| 2.5 goals | 63% | 37% | 1.60 |
| 3.5 goals | 40% | 60% | 2.47 |
What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 59% chance: Telstar 1963 score in about 70% of simulated outcomes and Feyenoord Rotterdam in about 87%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in 4 of 5 Telstar home games this season.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.44 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Telstar 1963 win | 21% | 4.70 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.58 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Model expects 3.2 total goals.
| Telstar \ Feyenoord | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| 1 | 4% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 4 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 2% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today
How have Telstar and Feyenoord played recently?
Latest first. Scores link to each match.
Current streaks
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
- Feyenoord: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 8 league games.
- Telstar have not won in their last 8 league games.
- Feyenoord have won each of their last 5 league games.
Eredivisie games only, runs of three or more. Telstar and Feyenoord.
How Telstar and Feyenoord compare this season
| Stat | Telstar (home, 5) | Feyenoord (away, 5) | Eredivisie average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 100% (5/5) | 80% (4/5) | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% (5/5) | 80% (4/5) | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% (5/5) | 80% (4/5) | 63% |
| BTTS | 80% (4/5) | 60% (3/5) | 72% |
| Win % | 0% (0/5) | 100% (5/5) | 32% home · 40% away |
| Goals for per game | 1.60 | 4.00 | 1.92 |
| Goals against per game | 3.00 | 1.20 | 1.92 |
Eredivisie average from 81 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.
Eredivisie table
| Team | Pos | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 16 | 6 | 9 |
| Feyenoord | 1 | 23 | 9 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Telstar 0 wins, 0 draws, Feyenoord 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 2; both teams scored in 2 of 2.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 22 Feb 2026 | Eredivisie | Feyenoord v Telstar | 2–1 |
| Sun, 30 Nov 2025 | Eredivisie | Telstar v Feyenoord | 1–2 |
90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Telstar v Feyenoord?
- Our model makes Feyenoord the more likely winner at 57%: Telstar 21%, draw 22%, Feyenoord 57%. Feyenoord won all 5 away games this season.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals in Telstar v Feyenoord?
- Over 2.5 goals is 63% and under 2.5 is 37%, with expected goals of 3.2. Over 2.5 in all 5 Telstar home games this season.
- What is the most likely score?
- 1-1 at 10%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How have Telstar and Feyenoord played recently?
- Latest first: Telstar DLDLD, Feyenoord WWWWL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Related
- Telstar 1963
- Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Eredivisie predictions
- Eredivisie table
- Eredivisie Home win
- Eredivisie Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Upcoming Eredivisie predictions
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.585% | 63% | 20% | 17% | 65% | 85% | 43% | 59% |
17:45 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.583% | 36% | 24% | 39% | 61% | 83% | 39% | 60% |
20:00 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.581% | 34% | 25% | 41% | 59% | 81% | 37% | 59% |
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
11:15 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.581% | 44% | 25% | 31% | 59% | 81% | 37% | 59% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.585% | 52% | 22% | 25% | 65% | 85% | 43% | 60% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.591% | 55% | 20% | 25% | 76% | 91% | 56% | 64% |
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série A  | U3.574%✓ | 48%✓ | 26%✕ | 25%✕ | 48%✕ | 73%✓ | 26%✕ | 51%✕ |
FT · EFL ChampChampionship  | U3.578%✕ | 62%✕ | 24%✓ | 14%✕ | 43%✓ | 70%✓ | 22%✓ | 48%✓ |
FT · EFL ChampChampionship  | O1.581%✓ | 61%✕ | 22%✓ | 18%✕ | 58%✓ | 81%✓ | 36%✓ | 54%✓ |
FT · EFL ChampChampionship  | U3.582%✓ | 39%✓ | 30%✕ | 31%✕ | 37%✕ | 65%✓ | 18%✕ | 50%✕ |
FT · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.575%✓ | 38%✕ | 27%✕ | 35%✓ | 50%✕ | 75%✓ | 28%✕ | 57%✕ |