Mirassol FC vs SC Internacional prediction

Brasileirão Série A · Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UK

Full-time: Mirassol FC 2–0 SC Internacional (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Mirassol FC a 48% chance of winning, and the exact score 2–0 a 9% chance. The model's favourite came through, though with only a modest edge.

5 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

1X2 (match result): pick home (48%)Correct
Over/Under 1.5: pick over (73%)Correct
Over/Under 2.5: pick under (52%)Correct
Over/Under 3.5: pick under (74%)Correct
Both teams to score: pick yes (51%)Incorrect
Correct score: pick 1-1 (13%)Incorrect
Double chance: pick 1X (75%)Correct

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Mirassol FC vs SC Internacional prediction (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UK): Mirassol FC 48% · Draw 26% · SC Internacional 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.54–1.05. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 51%, No 49%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

Published Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 03:45 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Mirassol vs Internacional pre-match preview

Mirassol (14th, 36 pts) host Internacional (17th, 32 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Mirassol have taken 8 points from their last 5 games (LDWDW) and Internacional 7 points from 5 (DWLWL). Mirassol: under 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.

Our model favours Mirassol at 48% to Internacional's 25%. Expected goals are 1.54 for Mirassol and 1.05 for Internacional, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

Both teams scoring looks less likely than usual: 51%, against 59% across the Brasileirão Série A. In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 2, Internacional didn't win any and 1 ended level; 2 had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 52%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.

Who will win Mirassol FC vs SC Internacional?

Mirassol FC are favoured at 48%, but the draw and a SC Internacional win together still account for 52%. Recent form: Mirassol FC LDWDWL, SC Internacional DWLWLL (latest first).

Mirassol won 12 of 19 home games last season.

Mirassol FC

48%

Draw

26%

SC Internacional

25%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 48% and Under 2.5 is 52%.

Under 2.5 in 10 of 16 Internacional away games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	73%	27%	1.36
2.5 goals	48%	52%	2.09
3.5 goals	26%	74%	3.82

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance: Mirassol FC score in about 79% of simulated outcomes and SC Internacional in about 65%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 11 of 16 Mirassol home games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	51%	1.97
No	49%	2.03

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Mirassol FC win	48%	2.07
Draw	26%	3.79
SC Internacional win	25%	3.93
Over 2.5	48%	2.09
Under 2.5	52%	1.92

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.6 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Mirassol FC goals (rows) × SC Internacional goals (columns)
Mirassol \ SC	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8%	7%	4%	1%	0%	0%
1	11%	13%	6%	2%	1%	0%
2	9%	9%	5%	2%	0%	0%
3	5%	5%	3%	1%	0%	0%
4	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

1-0

11%

2-1

2-0

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Mirassol and Internacional played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Mirassol, last 5

Mirassol, last 5 at home

Internacional, last 5

Internacional, last 5 away

Current streaks

Mirassol: under 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Internacional: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Brasileirão Série A games only, runs of three or more. Mirassol and Internacional.

How Mirassol and Internacional compare this season

Stat	Mirassol (home, 16)	Internacional (away, 16)	Brasileirão Série A average
Over 1.5	81% (13/16)	75% (12/16)	78%
Over 2.5	56% (9/16)	38% (6/16)	51%
Over 3.5	25% (4/16)	25% (4/16)	26%
BTTS	69% (11/16)	56% (9/16)	59%
Win %	44% (7/16)	19% (3/16)	47% home · 25% away
Goals for per game	1.44	0.94	1.33
Goals against per game	1.31	1.44	1.33

Brasileirão Série A average from 309 matches (2026). Average goals for per game is per team.

Brasileirão Série A table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Mirassol	14	36	31
Internacional	17	32	31

Full Brasileirão Série A table

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Mirassol 2 wins, 1 draw, Internacional 0 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 3; both teams scored in 3 of 3.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 19 Apr 2026	Brasileirão Série A	Internacional v Mirassol	1–2
Thu, 16 Oct 2025	Brasileirão Série A	Mirassol v Internacional	3–1
Mon, 19 May 2025	Brasileirão Série A	Internacional v Mirassol	1–1

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mirassol v Internacional?: Our model makes Mirassol the more likely winner at 48%: Mirassol 48%, draw 26%, Internacional 25%. Mirassol won 12 of 19 home games last season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mirassol v Internacional?: Over 2.5 goals is 48% and under 2.5 is 52%, with expected goals of 2.6. Under 2.5 in 10 of 16 Internacional away games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Mirassol and Internacional played recently?: Latest first: Mirassol LDWDW, Internacional DWLWL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Brasileirão Série A predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Brasileirão Série A predictions

Sat, 24 Oct 2026
00:00 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série ACruzeirovClube do Remo	O1.577%	60%	23%	17%	77%	53%	30%	50%	53%	77%	30%	50%
20:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série AInternacionalvBotafogo	U3.575%	35%	28%	37%	72%	46%	25%	51%	46%	72%	25%	51%
20:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série AMirassolvSão Paulo	U3.578%	45%	28%	27%	69%	43%	22%	49%	43%	69%	22%	49%
20:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série AVitóriavParanaense	U3.575%	31%	28%	41%	72%	46%	25%	51%	46%	72%	25%	51%
22:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série APalmeirasvBragantino	U3.574%	65%	22%	13%	73%	48%	26%	48%	48%	73%	26%	48%
22:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série AVasco da GamavCorinthians	U3.575%	41%	27%	32%	73%	47%	25%	51%	47%	73%	25%	51%

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