Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC prediction

Premier League · Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK

Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC prediction (Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Ipswich Town FC 30% · Draw 26% · Nottingham Forest FC 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.29–1.61. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 58%, No 42%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%).

Published Fri, 16 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham preview

Ipswich Town (10th, 9 pts) host Nottingham (19th, 5 pts) in the Premier League. Ipswich Town have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (LWLWL) and Nottingham 4 points from 5 (LLLWD). Nottingham have lost each of their last 3 league games.

Our model favours Nottingham at 44% to Ipswich Town's 30%. Expected goals are 1.29 for Ipswich Town and 1.61 for Nottingham, and the most likely score is 1-1 (12%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 58%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC?

Nottingham Forest FC are favoured at 44%, but the draw and a Ipswich Town FC win together still account for 56%. Recent form: Ipswich Town FC LWLWLL, Nottingham Forest FC LLLWDD (latest first).

Model expects 2.9 total goals.

Ipswich Town FC

30%

Draw

26%

Nottingham Forest FC

44%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 55% and Under 2.5 is 45%.

Over 2.5 in all 3 Nottingham away games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	79%	21%	1.26
2.5 goals	55%	45%	1.81
3.5 goals	33%	67%	3.04

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance: Ipswich Town FC score in about 73% of simulated outcomes and Nottingham Forest FC in about 80%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 3 Nottingham away games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	58%	1.72
No	42%	2.39

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Ipswich Town FC win	30%	3.37
Draw	26%	3.82
Nottingham Forest FC win	44%	2.27
Over 2.5	55%	1.81
Under 2.5	45%	2.24

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.9 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Ipswich Town FC goals (rows) × Nottingham Forest FC goals (columns)
Ipswich \ Nottingham	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6%	8%	7%	4%	2%	1%
1	6%	12%	9%	5%	2%	1%
2	5%	7%	6%	3%	1%	0%
3	2%	3%	3%	1%	1%	0%
4	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

12%

1-2

0-1

2-1

0-2

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Ipswich Town and Nottingham played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Ipswich Town, last 5

Ipswich Town, last 5 at home

Nottingham, last 5

Nottingham, last 5 away

Current streaks

Nottingham have lost each of their last 3 league games.
Nottingham have not won in their last 3 league games.

Premier League games only, runs of three or more. Ipswich Town and Nottingham.

How Ipswich Town and Nottingham compare this season

Stat	Ipswich Town (home, 3)	Nottingham (away, 3)	Premier League average
Over 1.5	100% (3/3)	100% (3/3)	76%
Over 2.5	67% (2/3)	100% (3/3)	54%
Over 3.5	0% (0/3)	67% (2/3)	36%
BTTS	67% (2/3)	100% (3/3)	53%
Win %	67% (2/3)	33% (1/3)	40% home · 31% away
Goals for per game	1.33	1.67	1.45
Goals against per game	1.33	2.00	1.45

Premier League average from 70 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Ipswich Town	10	9	7
Nottingham	19	5	7

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Ipswich Town 0 wins, 0 draws, Nottingham 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 2; both teams scored in 1 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sat, 15 Mar 2025	Premier League	Ipswich Town v Nottingham	2–4
Sat, 30 Nov 2024	Premier League	Nottingham v Ipswich Town	1–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ipswich Town v Nottingham?: Our model makes Nottingham the more likely winner at 44%: Ipswich Town 30%, draw 26%, Nottingham 44%. Model expects 2.9 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ipswich Town v Nottingham?: Over 2.5 goals is 55% and under 2.5 is 45%, with expected goals of 2.9. Over 2.5 in all 3 Nottingham away games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 12%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Ipswich Town and Nottingham played recently?: Latest first: Ipswich Town LWLWL, Nottingham LLLWD (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Premier League predictions

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