Coventry City FC vs Fulham FC prediction

Premier League · Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Coventry City FC vs Fulham FC prediction (Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Coventry City FC 36% · Draw 27% · Fulham FC 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.33–1.35. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 57%, No 43%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).

Published Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Coventry City vs Fulham preview

Coventry City (17th, 6 pts) host Fulham (18th, 5 pts) in the Premier League. Coventry City have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (LWWLL) and Fulham 5 points from 5 (WLDDL).

Our model sees little between the sides: Coventry City 36%, Fulham 37%. Expected goals are 1.33 for Coventry City and 1.35 for Fulham, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 57%.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 57%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Coventry City FC vs Fulham FC?

This is close to a coin flip: Coventry City FC 36%, Fulham FC 37%, with the draw at 27%. Recent form: Coventry City FC LWWLLL, Fulham FC WLDDLL (latest first).

Coventry City lost 2 of 3 home games this season.

Coventry City FC

36%

Draw

27%

Fulham FC

37%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 50% and Under 2.5 is 50%.

Over 2.5 in 2 of 3 Coventry City home games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	75%	25%	1.33
2.5 goals	50%	50%	1.99
3.5 goals	28%	72%	3.53

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance: Coventry City FC score in about 74% of simulated outcomes and Fulham FC in about 74%, and both need to happen.

Model expects 2.7 total goals.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	57%	1.76
No	43%	2.31

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Coventry City FC win	36%	2.77
Draw	27%	3.74
Fulham FC win	37%	2.69
Over 2.5	50%	1.99
Under 2.5	50%	2.01

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.7 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Coventry City FC goals (rows) × Fulham FC goals (columns)
Coventry \ Fulham	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%	0%
1	9%	13%	8%	4%	1%	0%
2	6%	8%	6%	3%	1%	0%
3	3%	4%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

0-1

1-0

1-2

2-1

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Coventry City and Fulham played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Coventry City, last 5

Coventry City, last 5 at home

Fulham, last 5

Fulham, last 5 away

How Coventry City and Fulham compare this season

Stat	Coventry City (home, 3)	Fulham (away, 3)	Premier League average
Over 1.5	67% (2/3)	33% (1/3)	76%
Over 2.5	67% (2/3)	33% (1/3)	54%
Over 3.5	67% (2/3)	0% (0/3)	36%
BTTS	33% (1/3)	33% (1/3)	53%
Win %	33% (1/3)	0% (0/3)	40% home · 31% away
Goals for per game	1.33	0.33	1.45
Goals against per game	2.33	1.00	1.45

Premier League average from 70 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Coventry City	17	6	7
Fulham	18	5	7

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Coventry City 2 wins, 0 draws, Fulham 0 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 2; both teams scored in 2 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 10 Apr 2022	Championship	Fulham v Coventry City	1–3
Sat, 2 Oct 2021	Championship	Coventry City v Fulham	4–1

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Coventry City v Fulham?: Our model makes Fulham the more likely winner at 37%: Coventry City 36%, draw 27%, Fulham 37%. Coventry City lost 2 of 3 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Coventry City v Fulham?: Over 2.5 goals is 50% and under 2.5 is 50%, with expected goals of 2.7. Over 2.5 in 2 of 3 Coventry City home games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Coventry City and Fulham played recently?: Latest first: Coventry City LWWLL, Fulham WLDDL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Premier League predictions

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