Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC prediction

Premier League · Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK

Full-time: Tottenham Hotspur FC 3–1 Coventry City FC (Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Tottenham Hotspur FC a 49% chance of winning, and the exact score 3–1 a 6% chance. The model's favourite came through, though with only a modest edge.

5 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

1X2 (match result): pick home (49%)Correct
Over/Under 1.5: pick over (80%)Correct
Over/Under 2.5: pick over (58%)Correct
Over/Under 3.5: pick under (65%)Incorrect
Both teams to score: pick yes (58%)Correct
Correct score: pick 1-1 (11%)Incorrect
Double chance: pick 12 (76%)Correct

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC prediction (Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Tottenham Hotspur FC 49% · Draw 24% · Coventry City FC 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.74–1.25. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 58%, No 42%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%).

Published Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 23:45 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Tottenham vs Coventry City pre-match preview

Tottenham (16th, 6 pts) host Coventry City (17th, 6 pts) in the Premier League. Tottenham have taken 3 points from their last 5 games (DLDDL) and Coventry City 6 points from 5 (WWLLL). Tottenham: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.

Our model favours Tottenham at 49% to Coventry City's 27%. Expected goals are 1.74 for Tottenham and 1.25 for Coventry City, and the most likely score is 1-1 (11%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 58%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC?

Tottenham Hotspur FC are favoured at 49%, but the draw and a Coventry City FC win together still account for 51%. Recent form: Tottenham Hotspur FC DLDDLL, Coventry City FC WWLLLL (latest first).

Coventry City lost 3 of 4 away games this season.

Tottenham Hotspur FC

49%

Draw

24%

Coventry City FC

27%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 58% and Under 2.5 is 42%.

Over 2.5 in 24 of 38 Tottenham games last season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	80%	20%	1.24
2.5 goals	58%	42%	1.74
3.5 goals	35%	65%	2.85

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance: Tottenham Hotspur FC score in about 83% of simulated outcomes and Coventry City FC in about 72%, and both need to happen.

Tottenham: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	58%	1.71
No	42%	2.41

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Tottenham Hotspur FC win	49%	2.06
Draw	24%	4.12
Coventry City FC win	27%	3.69
Over 2.5	58%	1.74
Under 2.5	42%	2.36

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.0 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur FC goals (rows) × Coventry City FC goals (columns)
Tottenham \ Coventry	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5%	6%	4%	2%	1%	0%
1	8%	11%	7%	3%	1%	0%
2	8%	10%	6%	2%	1%	0%
3	4%	6%	3%	1%	0%	0%
4	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

11%

2-1

10%

1-0

2-0

1-2

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Tottenham and Coventry City played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Tottenham, last 5

Tottenham, last 5 at home

Coventry City, last 5

Coventry City, last 5 away

Current streaks

Tottenham: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.
Tottenham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Premier League games only, runs of three or more. Tottenham and Coventry City.

How Tottenham and Coventry City compare this season

Stat	Tottenham (home, 4)	Coventry City (away, 4)	Premier League average
Over 1.5	75% (3/4)	50% (2/4)	76%
Over 2.5	50% (2/4)	50% (2/4)	54%
Over 3.5	50% (2/4)	25% (1/4)	36%
BTTS	50% (2/4)	25% (1/4)	53%
Win %	25% (1/4)	25% (1/4)	40% home · 31% away
Goals for per game	1.25	0.50	1.45
Goals against per game	1.50	1.75	1.45

Premier League average from 70 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Tottenham	16	6	7
Coventry City	17	6	7

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tottenham v Coventry City?: Our model makes Tottenham the more likely winner at 49%: Tottenham 49%, draw 24%, Coventry City 27%. Coventry City lost 3 of 4 away games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tottenham v Coventry City?: Over 2.5 goals is 58% and under 2.5 is 42%, with expected goals of 3.0. Over 2.5 in 24 of 38 Tottenham games last season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Tottenham and Coventry City played recently?: Latest first: Tottenham DLDDL, Coventry City WWLLL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Sat, 24 Oct 2026
12:30 · Premier LgPremier LeagueAston VillavMan City	O1.581%	27%	25%	48%	81%	57%	35%	59%	57%	81%	35%	59%
15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueCoventry CityvFulham	O1.575%	36%	27%	37%	75%	50%	28%	57%	50%	75%	28%	57%
15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueArsenalvEverton	U3.577%	64%	24%	12%	71%	44%	23%	51%	44%	71%	23%	51%
17:30 · Premier LgPremier LeagueChelseavTottenham	O1.582%	54%	24%	22%	82%	60%	37%	59%	60%	82%	37%	59%
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
14:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueMan UnitedvBournemouth	O1.582%	44%	25%	31%	82%	59%	37%	60%	59%	82%	37%	60%
14:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueHull CityvBrentford	O1.576%	22%	25%	53%	76%	52%	30%	56%	52%	76%	30%	56%

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