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Parma Calcio 1913 crest Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC Torino FC crest prediction

Serie A · Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK

Full-time: Parma Calcio 1913 0–3 Torino FC (Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Torino FC a 33% chance of winning, and the exact score 0–3 a 2% chance. Not the model's top pick. An outcome rated like this happens about 1 time in 3.

4 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC prediction (Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK): Parma Calcio 1913 37% · Draw 30% · Torino FC 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.12–1.05. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 48%, No 52%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Parma vs Torino pre-match preview

Parma (19th, 4 pts) host Torino (10th, 10 pts) in the Serie A. Parma have taken 4 points from their last 5 games (LWLDL) and Torino 7 points from 5 (WDLWL). Torino: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 league games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Parma 37%, Torino 33%. A draw is more likely than usual at 30%; 17% of Serie A matches end level. Expected goals are 1.12 for Parma and 1.05 for Torino, and the most likely score is 1-1 (14%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 63%, while 60% of Serie A matches go over 2.5. In their last 4 meetings, Parma won 1, Torino won 1 and 2 ended level; 3 had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 63%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC?

This is close to a coin flip: Parma Calcio 1913 37%, Torino FC 33%, with the draw at 30%. Recent form: Parma Calcio 1913 LWLDLL, Torino FC WDLWLL (latest first).

Model expects 2.2 total goals.

Parma Calcio 191337%
Draw30%
Torino FC33%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 63%; Over 2.5 is 37%.

Under 2.5 in 27 of 38 Parma games last season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals64%36%1.56
2.5 goals37%63%2.71
3.5 goals17%83%5.73

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 48% chance: Parma Calcio 1913 score in about 67% of simulated outcomes and Torino FC in about 65%, and both need to happen.

Model expects 2.2 total goals.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes48%2.06
No52%1.94

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Parma Calcio 1913 win37%2.73
Draw30%3.30
Torino FC win33%3.02
Over 2.537%2.71
Under 2.563%1.58

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.2 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Parma Calcio 1913 goals (rows) × Torino FC goals (columns)
Parma \ Torino012345
012%12%6%2%1%0%
112%14%7%2%1%0%
27%8%4%1%0%0%
33%3%1%1%0%0%
41%1%0%0%0%0%
50%0%0%0%0%0%
Other0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-114%
1-012%
0-012%
0-112%
2-18%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Parma and Torino played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Parma, last 5
  1. L 0–3 at Inter
  2. W 2–1 v Genoa
  3. L 1–2 at Como 1907
  4. D 1–1 v Monza
  5. L 0–2 at Juventus
Parma, last 5 at home
  1. W 2–1 v Genoa
  2. D 1–1 v Monza
  3. L 0–1 v Cagliari
  4. W 1–0 v Sassuolo
  5. L 2–3 v Roma
Torino, last 5
  1. W 2–1 v Udinese
  2. D 1–1 at Bologna
  3. L 0–2 v Roma
  4. W 2–1 at Fiorentina
  5. L 1–2 at Sassuolo
Torino, last 5 away
  1. D 1–1 at Bologna
  2. W 2–1 at Fiorentina
  3. L 1–2 at Sassuolo
  4. L 1–2 at Cagliari
  5. L 0–2 at Udinese

Current streaks

Serie A games only, runs of three or more. Parma and Torino.

How Parma and Torino compare this season

StatParma (home, 4)Torino (away, 4)Serie A average
Over 1.575% (3/4)100% (4/4)84%
Over 2.550% (2/4)75% (3/4)60%
Over 3.50% (0/4)0% (0/4)30%
BTTS50% (2/4)75% (3/4)57%
Win %25% (1/4)50% (2/4)47% home · 36% away
Goals for per game0.751.751.48
Goals against per game1.501.001.48

Serie A average from 70 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Serie A table

TeamPosPtsP
Parma1947
Torino10107

Full Serie A table

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Parma 1 win, 2 draws, Torino 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 3 of 4; both teams scored in 3 of 4.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
Fri, 13 Mar 2026Serie ATorino v Parma4–1
Mon, 29 Sept 2025Serie AParma v Torino2–1
Sat, 8 Mar 2025Serie AParma v Torino2–2
Sun, 5 Jan 2025Serie ATorino v Parma0–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Parma v Torino?
Our model makes Parma the more likely winner at 37%: Parma 37%, draw 30%, Torino 33%. Model expects 2.2 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Parma v Torino?
Over 2.5 goals is 37% and under 2.5 is 63%, with expected goals of 2.2. Under 2.5 in 27 of 38 Parma games last season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 14%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Parma and Torino played recently?
Latest first: Parma LWLDL, Torino WDLWL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Related

Upcoming Serie A predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Upcoming Serie A predictions
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
14:00 · Serie ACagliari Calcio crestCagliariBologna FC 1909 crestBolognaU3.579%32%29%39%42%69%21%50%
14:00 · Serie AComo 1907 crestComo 1907US Sassuolo Calcio crestSassuoloO1.582%61%21%18%60%82%38%53%
17:00 · Serie ASSC Napoli crestNapoliAS Roma crestRomaU3.579%36%29%35%42%69%21%50%
19:45 · Serie ASS Lazio crestLazioParma Calcio 1913 crestParmaU3.581%58%26%16%39%66%19%47%
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
11:30 · Serie AFC Internazionale Milano crestInterACF Fiorentina crestFiorentinaO1.586%72%16%11%68%86%46%53%
14:00 · Serie AAtalanta BC crestAtalantaFrosinone Calcio crestFrosinoneO1.579%56%23%20%56%79%34%53%

Other matches the same day

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Other matches the same day
Mon, 19 Oct 2026
FT · Serie AAC Monza crestMonza4Cagliari Calcio crestCagliari0U3.577%✕38%✓28%✕34%✕44%✓71%✓23%✓51%✕
FT · Premier LgTottenham Hotspur FC crestTottenham3Coventry City FC crestCoventry City1O1.580%✓49%✓24%✕27%✕58%✓80%✓35%✓58%✓
FT · La LigaGetafe CF crestGetafe1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid crestRayo Vallecano1U3.591%✓34%✕35%✓31%✕23%✕50%✓9%✕45%✓
FT · PrimeiraSporting Clube de Braga crestBraga1Gil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente2U3.577%✓55%✕26%✕19%✓44%✓70%✓23%✕48%✓