Hull City AFC vs Brentford FC prediction

Premier League · Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UK

Hull City AFC vs Brentford FC prediction (Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UK): Hull City AFC 22% · Draw 25% · Brentford FC 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.03–1.72. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 56%, No 44%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%).

Published Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Hull City vs Brentford preview

Hull City (9th, 9 pts) host Brentford (6th, 10 pts) in the Premier League. Hull City have taken 3 points from their last 5 games (LDLDD) and Brentford 6 points from 5 (LDWDD). Brentford: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 league games.

Our model makes Brentford clear favourites at 53%, with Hull City at 22%. Expected goals are 1.03 for Hull City and 1.72 for Brentford, and the most likely score is 1-1 (12%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 56%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Hull City AFC vs Brentford FC?

Brentford FC are clear favourites at 53%, with Hull City AFC at 22%. Recent form: Hull City AFC LDLDDW, Brentford FC LDWDDD (latest first).

Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.

Hull City AFC

22%

Draw

25%

Brentford FC

53%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 52% and Under 2.5 is 48%.

Over 2.5 in 5 of 7 Brentford games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	76%	24%	1.31
2.5 goals	52%	48%	1.93
3.5 goals	30%	70%	3.37

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance: Hull City AFC score in about 65% of simulated outcomes and Brentford FC in about 82%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 3 Brentford away games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	56%	1.78
No	44%	2.28

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Hull City AFC win	22%	4.48
Draw	25%	4.06
Brentford FC win	53%	1.89
Over 2.5	52%	1.93
Under 2.5	48%	2.08

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

Share:X WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.8 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Hull City AFC goals (rows) × Brentford FC goals (columns)
Hull \ Brentford	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7%	11%	9%	5%	2%	1%
1	6%	12%	10%	6%	2%	1%
2	3%	6%	5%	3%	1%	0%
3	1%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

12%

0-1

11%

1-2

10%

0-2

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Hull City and Brentford played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Hull City, last 5

Hull City, last 5 at home

Brentford, last 5

Brentford, last 5 away

Current streaks

Brentford: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 league games.
Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.
Brentford: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.

Premier League games only, runs of three or more. Hull City and Brentford.

How Hull City and Brentford compare this season

Stat	Hull City (home, 3)	Brentford (away, 3)	Premier League average
Over 1.5	67% (2/3)	100% (3/3)	76%
Over 2.5	33% (1/3)	67% (2/3)	54%
Over 3.5	33% (1/3)	67% (2/3)	36%
BTTS	33% (1/3)	100% (3/3)	53%
Win %	33% (1/3)	0% (0/3)	40% home · 31% away
Goals for per game	1.33	1.67	1.45
Goals against per game	0.67	1.67	1.45

Premier League average from 70 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Hull City	9	9	7
Brentford	6	10	7

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hull City v Brentford?: Our model makes Brentford the more likely winner at 53%: Hull City 22%, draw 25%, Brentford 53%. Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hull City v Brentford?: Over 2.5 goals is 52% and under 2.5 is 48%, with expected goals of 2.8. Over 2.5 in 5 of 7 Brentford games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 12%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Hull City and Brentford played recently?: Latest first: Hull City LDLDD, Brentford LDWDD (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Sat, 24 Oct 2026
12:30 · Premier LgPremier LeagueAston VillavMan City	O1.581%	27%	25%	48%	81%	57%	35%	59%	57%	81%	35%	59%
15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueCoventry CityvFulham	O1.575%	36%	27%	37%	75%	50%	28%	57%	50%	75%	28%	57%
15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueArsenalvEverton	U3.577%	64%	24%	12%	71%	44%	23%	51%	44%	71%	23%	51%
17:30 · Premier LgPremier LeagueChelseavTottenham	O1.582%	54%	24%	22%	82%	60%	37%	59%	60%	82%	37%	59%
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
14:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueMan UnitedvBournemouth	O1.582%	44%	25%	31%	82%	59%	37%	60%	59%	82%	37%	60%
14:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueLiverpoolvBrighton	O1.583%	50%	24%	26%	83%	61%	38%	59%	61%	83%	38%	59%

Other matches the same day