Fulham FC vs Hull City AFC prediction

Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Full-time: Fulham FC 1–0 Hull City AFC (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Fulham FC a 57% chance of winning, and the exact score 1–0 a 13% chance. The outcome the model rated most likely happened.

5 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

1X2 (match result): pick home (57%)Correct
Both teams to score: pick yes (54%)Incorrect
Correct score: pick 1-0 (13%)Correct
Double chance: pick 1X (82%)Correct
Over/Under 1.5: pick over (73%)Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5: pick under (53%)Correct
Over/Under 3.5: pick under (75%)Correct

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Fulham FC vs Hull City AFC prediction (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Fulham FC 57% · Draw 25% · Hull City AFC 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-0. Expected goals 1.70–0.86. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 54%, No 46%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%).

Published Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 21:53 UK · Updated Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Fulham vs Hull City pre-match preview

Fulham (18th, 5 pts) host Hull City (9th, 9 pts) in the Premier League. Fulham have taken 2 points from their last 5 games (LDDLL) and Hull City 6 points from 5 (DLDDW). Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.

Our model makes Fulham clear favourites at 57%, with Hull City at 18%. Expected goals are 1.70 for Fulham and 0.86 for Hull City, and the most likely score is 1-0 (13%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 54%.

Fulham to win is the model's clearest call at 57%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Fulham FC vs Hull City AFC?

Fulham FC are clear favourites at 57%, with Hull City AFC at 18%. Recent form: Fulham FC LDDLLL, Hull City AFC DLDDWW (latest first).

Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.

Fulham FC

57%

Draw

25%

Hull City AFC

18%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 47% and Under 2.5 is 53%.

Model expects 2.6 total goals.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	73%	27%	1.37
2.5 goals	47%	53%	2.12
3.5 goals	25%	75%	3.92

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 54% chance: Fulham FC score in about 82% of simulated outcomes and Hull City AFC in about 58%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 3 of 4 Fulham home games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	54%	1.86
No	46%	2.17

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Fulham FC win	57%	1.76
Draw	25%	4.05
Hull City AFC win	18%	5.44
Over 2.5	47%	2.12
Under 2.5	53%	1.89

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.6 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Fulham FC goals (rows) × Hull City AFC goals (columns)
Fulham \ Hull	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8%	6%	3%	1%	0%	0%
1	13%	12%	5%	1%	0%	0%
2	11%	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%
3	6%	5%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	3%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-0

13%

1-1

12%

2-0

11%

2-1

10%

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Fulham and Hull City played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Current streaks

Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.

Premier League games only, runs of three or more. Fulham and Hull City.

How Fulham and Hull City compare this season

Stat	Fulham (home, 4)	Hull City (away, 4)	Premier League average
Over 1.5	75% (3/4)	50% (2/4)	76%
Over 2.5	50% (2/4)	50% (2/4)	54%
Over 3.5	50% (2/4)	25% (1/4)	36%
BTTS	75% (3/4)	50% (2/4)	53%
Win %	25% (1/4)	25% (1/4)	40% home · 31% away
Goals for per game	1.50	1.00	1.45
Goals against per game	1.75	1.25	1.45

Premier League average from 70 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Fulham	18	5	7
Hull City	9	9	7

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Fulham 2 wins, 0 draws, Hull City 0 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 0 of 2; both teams scored in 0 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sat, 12 Feb 2022	Championship	Hull City v Fulham	0–1
Sat, 21 Aug 2021	Championship	Fulham v Hull City	2–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fulham v Hull City?: Our model makes Fulham the more likely winner at 57%: Fulham 57%, draw 25%, Hull City 18%. Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fulham v Hull City?: Over 2.5 goals is 47% and under 2.5 is 53%, with expected goals of 2.6. Model expects 2.6 total goals.
What is the most likely score?: 1-0 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Fulham and Hull City played recently?: Latest first: Fulham LDDLL, Hull City DLDDW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Sat, 24 Oct 2026
12:30 · Premier LgPremier LeagueAston VillavMan City	O1.581%	27%	25%	48%	81%	57%	35%	59%	57%	81%	35%	59%
15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueCoventry CityvFulham	O1.575%	36%	27%	37%	75%	50%	28%	57%	50%	75%	28%	57%
15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueArsenalvEverton	U3.577%	64%	24%	12%	71%	44%	23%	51%	44%	71%	23%	51%
17:30 · Premier LgPremier LeagueChelseavTottenham	O1.582%	54%	24%	22%	82%	60%	37%	59%	60%	82%	37%	59%
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
14:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueMan UnitedvBournemouth	O1.582%	44%	25%	31%	82%	59%	37%	60%	59%	82%	37%	60%
14:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueHull CityvBrentford	O1.576%	22%	25%	53%	76%	52%	30%	56%	52%	76%	30%	56%

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