Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC 
prediction
Premier League · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK
Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Aston Villa FC 41% · Draw 26% · Brentford FC 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.53–1.38. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC?
This is close to a coin flip: Aston Villa FC 41%, Brentford FC 34%, with the draw at 26%. Recent form: Aston Villa FC WLWDLL, Brentford FC WDDDWD (latest first).
Aston Villa FC
41%
Draw
26%
Brentford FC
34%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 56% and Under 2.5 is 44%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 79% | 21% | 1.26 |
| 2.5 goals | 56% | 44% | 1.80 |
| 3.5 goals | 33% | 67% | 3.01 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa FC win | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 |
| Brentford FC win | 34% | 2.97 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 |
Form and head-to-head
Aston Villa FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.2
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Premier League Brighton4Aston Villa0Brighton4–0Aston Villa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mon, 31 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier LeagueAston Villa0 Arsenal1Aston Villa0–1Arsenal | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier League Hull City0Aston Villa0Hull City0–0Aston Villa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Champions League Club Brugge2Aston Villa3Club Brugge2–3Aston Villa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier LeagueAston Villa1 Nottingham2Aston Villa1–2Nottingham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier League Tottenham2Aston Villa3Tottenham2–3Aston Villa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Brentford FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.8
| Sun, 24 May 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Premier League Liverpool1Brentford1Liverpool1–1Brentford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Premier LeagueBrentford3Tottenham0Brentford3–0Tottenham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier League Leeds1Brentford1Leeds1–1Brentford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier LeagueBrentford1 Sunderland1Brentford1–1Sunderland | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier League Bournemouth2Brentford2Bournemouth2–2Brentford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Fri, 18 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier LeagueBrentford3 Chelsea0Brentford3–0Chelsea | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
| Sat, 23 Aug 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Premier LeagueBrentford1Aston Villa0Brentford1–0Aston Villa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 1 Feb 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Premier LeagueAston Villa0Brentford1Aston Villa0–1Brentford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
1-1
12%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
1-0
8%
0-1
7%
Related
- Aston Villa FC
- Brentford FC
- Premier League predictions
- Premier League Home win
- Premier League Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 · Premier LeagueArsenalLeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
12:30 · Championship Swansea NorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 30% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |