PSV vs SC Heerenveen 
prediction
Eredivisie · Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK
PSV vs SC Heerenveen prediction (Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK): PSV 73% · Draw 15% · SC Heerenveen 12%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%. Most likely score: 3-1. Expected goals 3.07–1.28. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 13:12 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win PSV vs SC Heerenveen?
PSV are clear favourites at 73%, with SC Heerenveen at 12%. Recent form: PSV LWDWWW, SC Heerenveen WDLDLD (latest first).
PSV
73%
Draw
15%
SC Heerenveen
12%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals is likely at 81%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 93% | 7% | 1.07 |
| 2.5 goals | 81% | 19% | 1.24 |
| 3.5 goals | 63% | 37% | 1.59 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.78 |
| SC Heerenveen win | 12% | 8.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.21 |
Form and head-to-head
PSV: last 6
Goals per game: 3.5
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · EredivisiePSV5 Groningen1PSV5–1Groningen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Eredivisie Utrecht1PSV6Utrecht1–6PSV | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Eredivisie Ajax1PSV3Ajax1–3PSV | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Thu, 10 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Champions LeaguePSV1 Shaktar1PSV1–1Shaktar | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · EredivisiePSV4 Sparta1PSV4–1Sparta | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Eredivisie Twente3PSV2Twente3–2PSV | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
SC Heerenveen: last 6
Goals per game: 1.7
| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · EredivisieAjax2Heerenveen2Ajax2–2Heerenveen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · EredivisieHeerenveen0 Zwolle2Heerenveen0–2Zwolle | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Eredivisie Willem II2Heerenveen2Willem II2–2Heerenveen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · EredivisieHeerenveen2 AZ3Heerenveen2–3AZ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · EredivisieHeerenveen0 Telstar0Heerenveen0–0Telstar | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · EredivisieSparta0Heerenveen4Sparta0–4Heerenveen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
| Sat, 6 Dec 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · EredivisieHeerenveen0PSV2Heerenveen0–2PSV | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 21 Feb 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · EredivisiePSV3Heerenveen1PSV3–1Heerenveen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
3-1
8%
2-1
8%
3-0
6%
4-1
6%
2-0
6%
Related
Other matches the same day
| Fri, 9 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 · Bundesliga Dortmund Werder BremenDortmundvWerder Bremen | 74% | 17% | 8% | 58% | O1.5 81% | 81% | 36% | |
19:45 · Ligue 1 Lens LyonLensvLyon | 45% | 26% | 29% | 55% | O1.5 79% | 79% | 33% | |
20:00 · Championship West Ham QPRWest HamvQPR | 59% | 21% | 20% | 65% | O1.5 85% | 85% | 43% | |