Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen 
prediction
Bundesliga · Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 19:30 UK
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction (Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 19:30 UK): Borussia Dortmund 74% · Draw 17% · SV Werder Bremen 8%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 2-0. Expected goals 2.35–0.67. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 11:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 74%, with SV Werder Bremen at 8%. Recent form: Borussia Dortmund WWWWWW, SV Werder Bremen WDWLLL (latest first).
Borussia Dortmund
74%
Draw
17%
SV Werder Bremen
8%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 58% and Under 2.5 is 42%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 81% | 19% | 1.23 |
| 2.5 goals | 58% | 42% | 1.72 |
| 3.5 goals | 36% | 64% | 2.79 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund win | 74% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.81 |
| SV Werder Bremen win | 8% | 12.06 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 |
Form and head-to-head
Borussia Dortmund: last 6
Goals per game: 2.3
- Sat, 19 Sept 2026: VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund
- Sat, 12 Sept 2026: Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07
- Sat, 5 Sept 2026: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026: Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV
- Sat, 16 May 2026: SV Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
- Fri, 8 May 2026: Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt
SV Werder Bremen: last 6
Goals per game: 1.3
- Sat, 19 Sept 2026: SV Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg
- Sat, 12 Sept 2026: 1. FC Köln 1–1 SV Werder Bremen
- Sat, 5 Sept 2026: SV Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026: SC Freiburg 4–1 SV Werder Bremen
- Sat, 16 May 2026: SV Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
- Sat, 9 May 2026: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 SV Werder Bremen
Last 2 meetings
- Sat, 16 May 2026: SV Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
- Tue, 13 Jan 2026: Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SV Werder Bremen
What are the most likely scores?
2-0
13%
1-0
11%
3-0
11%
2-1
9%
1-1
8%
Related
- Borussia Dortmund
- SV Werder Bremen
- Bundesliga predictions
- Bundesliga Home win
- Bundesliga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
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