ProbaPredict

Real Betis Balompié crest Real Betis Balompié vs Feyenoord Rotterdam Feyenoord Rotterdam crest prediction

Champions League · Wed, 21 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK

Full-time: Real Betis Balompié 1–0 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Wed, 21 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Real Betis Balompié a 43% chance of winning, and the exact score 1–0 a 6% chance. The model's favourite came through, though with only a modest edge.

3 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

Scores are after 90 minutes; extra time and penalties are not counted.

How each market was graded

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Real Betis Balompié vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction (Wed, 21 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Real Betis Balompié 43% · Draw 23% · Feyenoord Rotterdam 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.80–1.57. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Wed, 21 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 59%, No 41%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Real Betis vs Feyenoord pre-match preview

Real Betis host Feyenoord in the Champions League. Real Betis have taken 10 points from their last 5 games (LWWDW) and Feyenoord 15 points from 5 (WWWWW). Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 3 Champions League games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Real Betis 43%, Feyenoord 33%. Expected goals are 1.80 for Real Betis and 1.57 for Feyenoord, and the most likely score is 1-1 (10%).

Over 2.5 goals is 65%, below the Champions League rate of 74%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Champions League match.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 65%, which still fails about 3 times in 10.

Who will win Real Betis Balompié vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Real Betis Balompié are favoured at 43%, but the draw and a Feyenoord Rotterdam win together still account for 57%. Recent form: Real Betis Balompié LWWDWW, Feyenoord Rotterdam WWWWWL (latest first).

Real Betis have won each of their last 3 Champions League games.

Real Betis Balompié43%
Draw23%
Feyenoord Rotterdam33%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 goals is likely at 65%.

Over 2.5 in 2 of 3 Real Betis games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals85%15%1.17
2.5 goals65%35%1.53
3.5 goals44%56%2.30

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 59% chance: Real Betis Balompié score in about 84% of simulated outcomes and Feyenoord Rotterdam in about 79%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 2 of 3 Real Betis games this season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes59%1.69
No41%2.45

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Real Betis Balompié win43%2.31
Draw23%4.30
Feyenoord Rotterdam win33%2.99
Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.89

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.4 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Real Betis Balompié goals (rows) × Feyenoord Rotterdam goals (columns)
Real \ Feyenoord012345
04%5%4%2%1%0%
16%10%8%4%2%0%
26%9%7%4%1%0%
33%5%4%2%1%0%
42%2%2%1%0%0%
51%1%1%0%0%0%
Other2% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-110%
2-19%
1-28%
2-27%
1-06%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Real Betis and Feyenoord played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Real Betis, last 5
  1. L 2–5 v Barça
  2. W 3–2 v Porto
  3. W 5–2 v Osasuna
  4. D 1–1 at Deportivo
  5. W 1–0 v Getafe
Real Betis, last 5 at home
  1. L 2–5 v Barça
  2. W 3–2 v Porto
  3. W 5–2 v Osasuna
  4. W 1–0 v Getafe
  5. W 1–0 v Real Madrid
Feyenoord, last 5
  1. W 4–3 at Telstar
  2. W 3–2 v Como 1907
  3. W 2–0 v AZ
  4. W 5–0 v Utrecht
  5. W 7–0 at Zwolle
Feyenoord, last 5 away
  1. W 4–3 at Telstar
  2. W 7–0 at Zwolle
  3. L 1–5 at Barça
  4. W 3–1 at NEC
  5. W 5–2 at Cambuur

Current streaks

Champions League games only, runs of three or more. Real Betis and Feyenoord.

How Real Betis and Feyenoord compare this season

StatReal Betis (home, 2)Feyenoord (away, 2)Champions League average
Over 1.550% (1/2)50% (1/2)87%
Over 2.550% (1/2)50% (1/2)74%
Over 3.550% (1/2)50% (1/2)63%
BTTS50% (1/2)50% (1/2)67%
Win %100% (2/2)0% (0/2)59% home · 30% away
Goals for per game2.000.502.05
Goals against per game1.003.002.05

Champions League average from 54 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Betis v Feyenoord?
Our model makes Real Betis the more likely winner at 43%: Real Betis 43%, draw 23%, Feyenoord 33%. Real Betis have won each of their last 3 Champions League games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Betis v Feyenoord?
Over 2.5 goals is 65% and under 2.5 is 35%, with expected goals of 3.4. Over 2.5 in 2 of 3 Real Betis games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 10%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Real Betis and Feyenoord played recently?
Latest first: Real Betis LWWDW, Feyenoord WWWWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

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Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
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