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Real Betis Balompié crest Real Betis Balompié vs FC Porto FC Porto crest prediction

Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK

Full-time: Real Betis Balompié 3–2 FC Porto (Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave Real Betis Balompié a 32% chance of winning, and the exact score 3–2 a 2% chance. Not the model's top pick. An outcome rated like this happens about 1 time in 3.

3 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

Scores are after 90 minutes; extra time and penalties are not counted.

How each market was graded

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Real Betis Balompié vs FC Porto prediction (Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Real Betis Balompié 32% · Draw 28% · FC Porto 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.17–1.36. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 53%, No 47%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Real Betis vs Porto pre-match preview

Real Betis host Porto in the Champions League. Real Betis have taken 13 points from their last 5 games (WDWWW) and Porto 12 points from 5 (WWWLW). Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 3 Champions League games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Real Betis 32%, Porto 41%. Expected goals are 1.17 for Real Betis and 1.36 for Porto, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 54%, while 74% of Champions League matches go over 2.5.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 54%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.

Who will win Real Betis Balompié vs FC Porto?

This is close to a coin flip: Real Betis Balompié 32%, FC Porto 41%, with the draw at 28%. Recent form: Real Betis Balompié WDWWWW, FC Porto WWWLWW (latest first).

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Real Betis Balompié32%
Draw28%
FC Porto41%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 46% and Under 2.5 is 54%.

Under 2.5 in 2 of 3 Porto games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals72%28%1.38
2.5 goals46%54%2.15
3.5 goals25%75%4.01

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance: Real Betis Balompié score in about 69% of simulated outcomes and FC Porto in about 74%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 2 of 3 Real Betis games this season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes53%1.88
No47%2.14

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Real Betis Balompié win32%3.16
Draw28%3.62
FC Porto win41%2.46
Over 2.546%2.15
Under 2.554%1.87

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Real Betis Balompié goals (rows) × FC Porto goals (columns)
Real \ FC012345
08%10%7%3%1%0%
19%13%9%4%1%0%
25%7%5%2%1%0%
32%3%2%1%0%0%
41%1%1%0%0%0%
50%0%0%0%0%0%
Other0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-113%
0-110%
1-09%
1-29%
0-08%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Real Betis and Porto played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Real Betis, last 5
  1. W 5–2 v Osasuna
  2. D 1–1 at Deportivo
  3. W 1–0 v Getafe
  4. W 2–1 at Villarreal
  5. W 3–2 at Lille
Real Betis, last 5 at home
  1. W 5–2 v Osasuna
  2. W 1–0 v Getafe
  3. W 1–0 v Real Madrid
  4. W 1–0 v Real Sociedad
  5. W 2–1 v Levante
Porto, last 5
  1. W 2–1 at Marítimo
  2. W 3–1 v SL Benfica
  3. W 4–1 at Casa Pia
  4. L 0–2 v Man City
  5. W 2–1 v Moreirense
Porto, last 5 away
  1. W 2–1 at Marítimo
  2. W 4–1 at Casa Pia
  3. W 3–0 at Acad. Viseu
  4. W 2–0 at Rio Ave
  5. L 1–3 at AVS

Current streaks

Champions League games only, runs of three or more. Real Betis and Porto.

How Real Betis and Porto compare this season

StatReal Betis (home, 2)Porto (away, 1)Champions League average
Over 1.550% (1/2)100% (1/1)87%
Over 2.550% (1/2)100% (1/1)74%
Over 3.550% (1/2)100% (1/1)63%
BTTS50% (1/2)100% (1/1)67%
Win %100% (2/2)0% (0/1)59% home · 30% away
Goals for per game2.002.002.05
Goals against per game1.003.002.05

Champions League average from 54 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Betis v Porto?
Our model makes Porto the more likely winner at 41%: Real Betis 32%, draw 28%, Porto 41%. Model expects 2.5 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Betis v Porto?
Over 2.5 goals is 46% and under 2.5 is 54%, with expected goals of 2.5. Under 2.5 in 2 of 3 Porto games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Real Betis and Porto played recently?
Latest first: Real Betis WDWWW, Porto WWWLW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

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Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
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