Sheffield United FC vs Wrexham AFC prediction

Championship · Fri, 30 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK

Sheffield United FC vs Wrexham AFC prediction (Fri, 30 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Sheffield United FC 46% · Draw 24% · Wrexham AFC 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.72–1.32. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 56%, No 44%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%).

Published Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham preview

Sheffield Utd (11th, 15 pts) host Wrexham (14th, 14 pts) in the Championship. Sheffield Utd have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (DWLWL) and Wrexham 7 points from 5 (LWLDW). Wrexham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.

Our model favours Sheffield Utd at 46% to Wrexham's 29%. Expected goals are 1.72 for Sheffield Utd and 1.32 for Wrexham, and the most likely score is 1-1 (11%).

The goal markets sit close to the Championship norm: Over 2.5 at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 58%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Sheffield United FC vs Wrexham AFC?

Sheffield United FC are favoured at 46%, but the draw and a Wrexham AFC win together still account for 54%. Recent form: Sheffield United FC DWLWLL, Wrexham AFC LWLDWL (latest first).

Model expects 3.0 total goals.

Sheffield United FC

46%

Draw

24%

Wrexham AFC

29%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 58% and Under 2.5 is 42%.

Over 2.5 in 7 of 11 Sheffield Utd games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	81%	19%	1.23
2.5 goals	58%	42%	1.71
3.5 goals	36%	64%	2.77

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance: Sheffield United FC score in about 82% of simulated outcomes and Wrexham AFC in about 73%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 8 of 11 Wrexham games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	56%	1.79
No	44%	2.27

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Sheffield United FC win	46%	2.15
Draw	24%	4.10
Wrexham AFC win	29%	3.43
Over 2.5	58%	1.71
Under 2.5	42%	2.41

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.0 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Sheffield United FC goals (rows) × Wrexham AFC goals (columns)
Sheffield \ Wrexham	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5%	6%	4%	2%	1%	0%
1	8%	11%	7%	3%	1%	0%
2	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%	0%
3	4%	5%	4%	2%	1%	0%
4	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

11%

2-1

1-0

1-2

2-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Sheffield Utd and Wrexham played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Sheffield Utd, last 5

Sheffield Utd, last 5 at home

Wrexham, last 5

Wrexham, last 5 away

Current streaks

Wrexham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.
Wrexham: both teams scored in each of their last 4 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Sheffield Utd and Wrexham.

How Sheffield Utd and Wrexham compare this season

Stat	Sheffield Utd (home, 5)	Wrexham (away, 5)	Championship average
Over 1.5	60% (3/5)	80% (4/5)	77%
Over 2.5	60% (3/5)	40% (2/5)	62%
Over 3.5	40% (2/5)	20% (1/5)	37%
BTTS	40% (2/5)	40% (2/5)	64%
Win %	40% (2/5)	20% (1/5)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	1.40	1.00	1.45
Goals against per game	1.20	1.60	1.45

Championship average from 133 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Sheffield Utd	11	15	11
Wrexham	14	14	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Sheffield Utd 0 wins, 0 draws, Wrexham 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 2; both teams scored in 2 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sat, 21 Mar 2026	Championship	Sheffield Utd v Wrexham	1–2
Fri, 26 Dec 2025	Championship	Wrexham v Sheffield Utd	5–3

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sheffield Utd v Wrexham?: Our model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 46%: Sheffield Utd 46%, draw 24%, Wrexham 29%. Model expects 3.0 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sheffield Utd v Wrexham?: Over 2.5 goals is 58% and under 2.5 is 42%, with expected goals of 3.0. Over 2.5 in 7 of 11 Sheffield Utd games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Sheffield Utd and Wrexham played recently?: Latest first: Sheffield Utd DWLWL, Wrexham LWLDW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Championship predictions

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