Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC prediction

Championship · Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC prediction (Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Blackburn Rovers FC 39% · Draw 27% · Wrexham AFC 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.37–1.27. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 53%, No 47%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%).

Published Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Blackburn vs Wrexham preview

Blackburn (10th, 15 pts) host Wrexham (14th, 14 pts) in the Championship. Blackburn have taken 10 points from their last 5 games (LWWDW) and Wrexham 7 points from 5 (WLDWL). Wrexham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Blackburn 39%, Wrexham 34%. Expected goals are 1.37 for Blackburn and 1.27 for Wrexham, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 51%, while 61% of Championship matches go over 2.5.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 53%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.

Who will win Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC?

This is close to a coin flip: Blackburn Rovers FC 39%, Wrexham AFC 34%, with the draw at 27%. Recent form: Blackburn Rovers FC LWWDWL, Wrexham AFC WLDWLD (latest first).

Blackburn won 3 of 5 home games this season.

Blackburn Rovers FC

39%

Draw

27%

Wrexham AFC

34%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 49% and Under 2.5 is 51%.

Under 2.5 in 3 of 5 Wrexham away games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	75%	25%	1.34
2.5 goals	49%	51%	2.03
3.5 goals	27%	73%	3.65

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance: Blackburn Rovers FC score in about 75% of simulated outcomes and Wrexham AFC in about 72%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 5 Blackburn home games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	53%	1.87
No	47%	2.15

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Blackburn Rovers FC win	39%	2.57
Draw	27%	3.71
Wrexham AFC win	34%	2.92
Over 2.5	49%	2.03
Under 2.5	51%	1.97

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.6 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Blackburn Rovers FC goals (rows) × Wrexham AFC goals (columns)
Blackburn \ Wrexham	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8%	9%	6%	2%	1%	0%
1	9%	13%	8%	3%	1%	0%
2	7%	9%	5%	2%	1%	0%
3	3%	4%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

1-0

0-1

2-1

1-2

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Blackburn and Wrexham played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Blackburn, last 5

Blackburn, last 5 at home

Wrexham, last 5

Wrexham, last 5 away

Current streaks

Wrexham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.
Wrexham: both teams scored in each of their last 4 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Blackburn and Wrexham.

How Blackburn and Wrexham compare this season

Stat	Blackburn (home, 5)	Wrexham (away, 5)	Championship average
Over 1.5	100% (5/5)	80% (4/5)	77%
Over 2.5	100% (5/5)	40% (2/5)	61%
Over 3.5	20% (1/5)	20% (1/5)	36%
BTTS	100% (5/5)	40% (2/5)	64%
Win %	60% (3/5)	20% (1/5)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	1.80	1.00	1.44
Goals against per game	1.40	1.60	1.44

Championship average from 132 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Blackburn	10	15	11
Wrexham	14	14	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Blackburn 0 wins, 1 draw, Wrexham 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 0 of 2; both teams scored in 1 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Thu, 1 Jan 2026	Championship	Blackburn v Wrexham	0–2
Sat, 29 Nov 2025	Championship	Wrexham v Blackburn	1–1

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Blackburn v Wrexham?: Our model makes Blackburn the more likely winner at 39%: Blackburn 39%, draw 27%, Wrexham 34%. Blackburn won 3 of 5 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Blackburn v Wrexham?: Over 2.5 goals is 49% and under 2.5 is 51%, with expected goals of 2.6. Under 2.5 in 3 of 5 Wrexham away games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Blackburn and Wrexham played recently?: Latest first: Blackburn LWWDW, Wrexham WLDWL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Championship predictions

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