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West Bromwich Albion FC crest West Bromwich Albion FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC Blackburn Rovers FC crest prediction

Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Full-time: West Bromwich Albion FC 3–2 Blackburn Rovers FC (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK). Before kick-off the model gave West Bromwich Albion FC a 42% chance of winning, and the exact score 3–2 a 1% chance. The model's favourite came through, though with only a modest edge.

3 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

Published before kick-off, unchanged

West Bromwich Albion FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC prediction (Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): West Bromwich Albion FC 42% · Draw 31% · Blackburn Rovers FC 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%. Most likely score: 1-0. Expected goals 1.14–0.86. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 48%, No 52%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

West Brom vs Blackburn pre-match preview

West Brom (5th, 20 pts) host Blackburn (10th, 15 pts) in the Championship. West Brom have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (WLLDW) and Blackburn 10 points from 5 (WWDWL).

Our model favours West Brom at 42% to Blackburn's 27%. A draw is more likely than usual at 31%; 28% of Championship matches end level. Expected goals are 1.14 for West Brom and 0.86 for Blackburn, and the most likely score is 1-0 (15%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 68%, while 61% of Championship matches go over 2.5. In their last 4 meetings, West Brom won 1, Blackburn won 1 and 2 ended level; none had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 68%, which still fails about 3 times in 10.

Who will win West Bromwich Albion FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC?

West Bromwich Albion FC are favoured at 42%, but the draw and a Blackburn Rovers FC win together still account for 58%. Recent form: West Bromwich Albion FC WLLDWW, Blackburn Rovers FC WWDWLL (latest first).

Model expects 2.0 total goals.

West Bromwich Albion FC42%
Draw31%
Blackburn Rovers FC27%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 68%; Over 2.5 is 32%.

Under 2.5 in 4 of 6 West Brom home games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals60%40%1.67
2.5 goals32%68%3.08
3.5 goals14%86%6.96

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 48% chance: West Bromwich Albion FC score in about 68% of simulated outcomes and Blackburn Rovers FC in about 58%, and both need to happen.

Model expects 2.0 total goals.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes48%2.09
No52%1.91

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
West Bromwich Albion FC win42%2.39
Draw31%3.19
Blackburn Rovers FC win27%3.72
Over 2.532%3.08
Under 2.568%1.48

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.0 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: West Bromwich Albion FC goals (rows) × Blackburn Rovers FC goals (columns)
West \ Blackburn012345
014%11%5%1%0%0%
115%14%6%2%0%0%
29%8%3%1%0%0%
33%3%1%0%0%0%
41%1%0%0%0%0%
50%0%0%0%0%0%
Other0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-015%
0-014%
1-114%
0-111%
2-09%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have West Brom and Blackburn played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

West Brom, last 5
  1. W 2–1 at Wrexham
  2. L 0–1 v Birmingham
  3. L 0–1 at Wolves
  4. D 1–1 v QPR
  5. W 1–0 at Derby County
West Brom, last 5 at home
  1. L 0–1 v Birmingham
  2. D 1–1 v QPR
  3. W 1–0 v Watford
  4. D 1–1 v Charlton
  5. W 3–1 v Burnley
Blackburn, last 5
  1. W 1–0 at Bristol City
  2. W 2–1 v Cardiff
  3. D 2–2 at Portsmouth
  4. W 3–1 v Millwall
  5. L 1–2 v Sheffield Utd
Blackburn, last 5 away
  1. W 1–0 at Bristol City
  2. D 2–2 at Portsmouth
  3. L 1–2 at Preston NE
  4. D 0–0 at Lincoln City
  5. D 2–2 at Wolves

How West Brom and Blackburn compare this season

StatWest Brom (home, 6)Blackburn (away, 6)Championship average
Over 1.567% (4/6)67% (4/6)77%
Over 2.533% (2/6)67% (4/6)61%
Over 3.533% (2/6)50% (3/6)36%
BTTS67% (4/6)67% (4/6)64%
Win %50% (3/6)17% (1/6)39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game1.501.331.44
Goals against per game1.001.501.44

Championship average from 132 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

TeamPosPtsP
West Brom52011
Blackburn101511

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: West Brom 1 win, 2 draws, Blackburn 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 0 of 4; both teams scored in 0 of 4.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
Mon, 6 Apr 2026ChampionshipBlackburn v West Brom0–0
Sat, 9 Aug 2025ChampionshipWest Brom v Blackburn1–0
Wed, 12 Feb 2025ChampionshipWest Brom v Blackburn0–2
Wed, 23 Oct 2024ChampionshipBlackburn v West Brom0–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win West Brom v Blackburn?
Our model makes West Brom the more likely winner at 42%: West Brom 42%, draw 31%, Blackburn 27%. Model expects 2.0 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in West Brom v Blackburn?
Over 2.5 goals is 32% and under 2.5 is 68%, with expected goals of 2.0. Under 2.5 in 4 of 6 West Brom home games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-0 at 15%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have West Brom and Blackburn played recently?
Latest first: West Brom WLLDW, Blackburn WWDWL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Related

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Upcoming Championship predictions
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
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Other matches the same day

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Other matches the same day
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
FT · BrasileirãoMirassol FC crestMirassol2SC Internacional crestInternacional0U3.574%✓48%✓26%✕25%✕48%✕73%✓26%✕51%✕
FT · EFL ChampMillwall FC crestMillwall2Lincoln City FC crestLincoln City2U3.578%✕62%✕24%✓14%✕43%✓70%✓22%✓48%✓
FT · EFL ChampMiddlesbrough FC crestMiddlesbrough2Cardiff City FC crestCardiff2O1.581%✓61%✕22%✓18%✕58%✓81%✓36%✓54%✓
FT · EFL ChampWatford FC crestWatford2Charlton Athletic FC crestCharlton0U3.582%✓39%✓30%✕31%✕37%✕65%✓18%✕50%✕
FT · Premier LgEverton FC crestEverton0Chelsea FC crestChelsea2O1.575%✓38%✕27%✕35%✓50%✕75%✓28%✕57%✕