Wrexham AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC prediction

Championship · Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK

Full-time: Wrexham AFC 1–2 West Bromwich Albion FC (Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK). Before kick-off the model gave West Bromwich Albion FC a 28% chance of winning, and the exact score 1–2 a 7% chance. Not the model's top pick. An outcome rated like this happens about 1 time in 4.

4 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

1X2 (match result): pick home (44%)Incorrect
Both teams to score: pick yes (52%)Correct
Correct score: pick 1-1 (13%)Incorrect
Double chance: pick 12 (72%)Correct
Over/Under 1.5: pick over (72%)Correct
Over/Under 2.5: pick under (54%)Incorrect
Over/Under 3.5: pick under (76%)Correct

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Wrexham AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC prediction (Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK): Wrexham AFC 44% · Draw 28% · West Bromwich Albion FC 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.41–1.09. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 52%, No 48%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

Published Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Wrexham vs West Brom pre-match preview

Wrexham (14th, 14 pts) host West Brom (5th, 20 pts) in the Championship. Wrexham have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (DWLDD) and West Brom 7 points from 5 (LLDWW). Wrexham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.

Our model favours Wrexham at 44% to West Brom's 28%. Expected goals are 1.41 for Wrexham and 1.09 for West Brom, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 54%, while 61% of Championship matches go over 2.5.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 54%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.

Who will win Wrexham AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC?

Wrexham AFC are favoured at 44%, but the draw and a West Bromwich Albion FC win together still account for 56%. Recent form: Wrexham AFC DWLDDW, West Bromwich Albion FC LLDWWD (latest first).

West Brom lost 14 of 23 away games last season.

Wrexham AFC

44%

Draw

28%

West Bromwich Albion FC

28%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 46% and Under 2.5 is 54%.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	72%	28%	1.39
2.5 goals	46%	54%	2.19
3.5 goals	24%	76%	4.12

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance: Wrexham AFC score in about 76% of simulated outcomes and West Bromwich Albion FC in about 66%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 6 Wrexham home games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	52%	1.92
No	48%	2.09

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Wrexham AFC win	44%	2.28
Draw	28%	3.63
West Bromwich Albion FC win	28%	3.51
Over 2.5	46%	2.19
Under 2.5	54%	1.84

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

Share:X WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Wrexham AFC goals (rows) × West Bromwich Albion FC goals (columns)
Wrexham \ West	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9%	8%	5%	2%	0%	0%
1	11%	13%	7%	2%	1%	0%
2	8%	9%	5%	2%	0%	0%
3	4%	4%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

1-0

11%

2-1

0-0

0-1

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Wrexham and West Brom played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Wrexham, last 5

Wrexham, last 5 at home

West Brom, last 5

West Brom, last 5 away

Current streaks

Wrexham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.
Wrexham: both teams scored in each of their last 4 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Wrexham and West Brom.

How Wrexham and West Brom compare this season

Stat	Wrexham (home, 6)	West Brom (away, 5)	Championship average
Over 1.5	100% (6/6)	60% (3/5)	77%
Over 2.5	67% (4/6)	60% (3/5)	61%
Over 3.5	17% (1/6)	20% (1/5)	36%
BTTS	100% (6/6)	60% (3/5)	64%
Win %	33% (2/6)	60% (3/5)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	1.67	1.20	1.44
Goals against per game	1.33	1.20	1.44

Championship average from 132 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Wrexham	14	14	11
West Brom	5	20	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Wrexham 0 wins, 1 draw, West Brom 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 2; both teams scored in 2 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Fri, 3 Apr 2026	Championship	West Brom v Wrexham	2–2
Sat, 16 Aug 2025	Championship	Wrexham v West Brom	2–3

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wrexham v West Brom?: Our model makes Wrexham the more likely winner at 44%: Wrexham 44%, draw 28%, West Brom 28%. West Brom lost 14 of 23 away games last season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wrexham v West Brom?: Over 2.5 goals is 46% and under 2.5 is 54%, with expected goals of 2.5. Model expects 2.5 total goals.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Wrexham and West Brom played recently?: Latest first: Wrexham DWLDD, West Brom LLDWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Championship predictions

Sat, 24 Oct 2026
12:30 · EFL ChampChampionshipPortsmouthvMillwall	U3.578%	34%	29%	37%	70%	43%	22%	51%	43%	70%	22%	51%
12:30 · EFL ChampChampionshipCharltonvNorwich	U3.577%	32%	28%	40%	71%	45%	23%	52%	45%	71%	23%	52%
12:30 · EFL ChampChampionshipSheffield UtdvDerby County	O1.576%	50%	25%	25%	76%	51%	29%	53%	51%	76%	29%	53%
15:00 · EFL ChampChampionshipCardiffvBirmingham	O1.575%	34%	27%	39%	75%	50%	28%	54%	50%	75%	28%	54%
15:00 · EFL ChampChampionshipQPRvSwansea	U3.575%	37%	28%	35%	72%	46%	25%	53%	46%	72%	25%	53%
15:00 · EFL ChampChampionshipStokevBristol City	U3.578%	40%	29%	31%	69%	42%	22%	51%	42%	69%	22%	51%

Other matches the same day