Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC prediction

Championship · Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 59% · Draw 23% · Cardiff City FC 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.90–0.98. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 53%, No 47%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%).

Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Wolves vs Cardiff preview

Wolves (7th, 18 pts) host Cardiff (19th, 11 pts) in the Championship. Wolves have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (WDWLL) and Cardiff 10 points from 5 (WDWLW). Cardiff: both teams scored in each of their last 4 league games.

Our model makes Wolves clear favourites at 59%, with Cardiff at 19%. Expected goals are 1.90 for Wolves and 0.98 for Cardiff, and the most likely score is 1-1 (11%).

Both teams scoring looks less likely than usual: 53%, against 64% across the Championship.

Wolves to win is the model's clearest call at 59%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC?

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC are clear favourites at 59%, with Cardiff City FC at 19%. Recent form: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC WDWLLW, Cardiff City FC WDWLWL (latest first).

Cardiff lost 4 of 6 away games this season.

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

59%

Draw

23%

Cardiff City FC

19%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 55% and Under 2.5 is 45%.

Over 2.5 in 4 of 6 Cardiff away games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	79%	21%	1.27
2.5 goals	55%	45%	1.82
3.5 goals	33%	67%	3.06

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC score in about 85% of simulated outcomes and Cardiff City FC in about 63%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 9 of 11 Cardiff games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	53%	1.88
No	47%	2.14

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win	59%	1.70
Draw	23%	4.40
Cardiff City FC win	19%	5.38
Over 2.5	55%	1.82
Under 2.5	45%	2.22

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.9 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC goals (rows) × Cardiff City FC goals (columns)
Wolverhampton \ Cardiff	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6%	5%	3%	1%	0%	0%
1	10%	11%	5%	2%	0%	0%
2	10%	10%	5%	2%	0%	0%
3	6%	6%	3%	1%	0%	0%
4	3%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

11%

1-0

10%

2-0

10%

2-1

10%

3-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Wolves and Cardiff played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Current streaks

Cardiff: both teams scored in each of their last 4 league games.
Cardiff: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Cardiff: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Wolves: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.
Wolves: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Wolves and Cardiff.

How Wolves and Cardiff compare this season

Stat	Wolves (home, 5)	Cardiff (away, 6)	Championship average
Over 1.5	80% (4/5)	83% (5/6)	77%
Over 2.5	60% (3/5)	67% (4/6)	62%
Over 3.5	60% (3/5)	33% (2/6)	37%
BTTS	80% (4/5)	67% (4/6)	64%
Win %	40% (2/5)	0% (0/6)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	1.80	1.00	1.45
Goals against per game	1.40	1.83	1.45

Championship average from 133 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Wolves	7	18	11
Cardiff	19	11	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolves v Cardiff?: Our model makes Wolves the more likely winner at 59%: Wolves 59%, draw 23%, Cardiff 19%. Cardiff lost 4 of 6 away games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wolves v Cardiff?: Over 2.5 goals is 55% and under 2.5 is 45%, with expected goals of 2.9. Over 2.5 in 4 of 6 Cardiff away games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Wolves and Cardiff played recently?: Latest first: Wolves WDWLL, Cardiff WDWLW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

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