Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC prediction

Championship · Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK

Full-time: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1–1 Portsmouth FC (Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK). Before kick-off the model gave the draw a 24% chance, and the exact score 1–1 a 11% chance. Not the model's top pick. An outcome rated like this happens about 1 time in 4.

4 of 7 markets graded correct. See the full public record.

How each market was graded

1X2 (match result): pick home (58%)Incorrect
Both teams to score: pick yes (52%)Correct
Correct score: pick 1-0 (11%)Incorrect
Double chance: pick 1X (81%)Correct
Over/Under 1.5: pick over (76%)Correct
Over/Under 2.5: pick over (52%)Incorrect
Over/Under 3.5: pick under (71%)Correct

Published before kick-off, unchanged

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC prediction (Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK): Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 58% · Draw 24% · Portsmouth FC 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-0. Expected goals 1.80–0.93. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 52%, No 48%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%).

Published Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 23:45 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Wolves vs Portsmouth pre-match preview

Wolves (7th, 18 pts) host Portsmouth (13th, 15 pts) in the Championship. Wolves have taken 9 points from their last 5 games (WLLWW) and Portsmouth 8 points from 5 (WWLDD). Wolves: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.

Our model makes Wolves clear favourites at 58%, with Portsmouth at 19%. Expected goals are 1.80 for Wolves and 0.93 for Portsmouth, and the most likely score is 1-0 (11%).

Both teams scoring looks less likely than usual: 52%, against 64% across the Championship.

Wolves to win is the model's clearest call at 58%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC?

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC are clear favourites at 58%, with Portsmouth FC at 19%. Recent form: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC WLLWWD, Portsmouth FC WWLDDW (latest first).

Model expects 2.7 total goals.

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

58%

Draw

24%

Portsmouth FC

19%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 52% and Under 2.5 is 48%.

Over 2.5 in 7 of 11 Wolves games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	76%	24%	1.31
2.5 goals	52%	48%	1.94
3.5 goals	29%	71%	3.40

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC score in about 84% of simulated outcomes and Portsmouth FC in about 61%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 4 of 5 Wolves home games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	52%	1.91
No	48%	2.09

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win	58%	1.74
Draw	24%	4.22
Portsmouth FC win	19%	5.32
Over 2.5	52%	1.94
Under 2.5	48%	2.06

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.7 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC goals (rows) × Portsmouth FC goals (columns)
Wolverhampton \ Portsmouth	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7%	6%	3%	1%	0%	0%
1	11%	11%	5%	2%	0%	0%
2	11%	10%	5%	1%	0%	0%
3	6%	6%	3%	1%	0%	0%
4	3%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-0

11%

1-1

11%

2-0

11%

2-1

10%

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Wolves and Portsmouth played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Wolves, last 5

Wolves, last 5 at home

Portsmouth, last 5

Portsmouth, last 5 away

Current streaks

Wolves: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.
Wolves: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.
Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last 3 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Wolves and Portsmouth.

How Wolves and Portsmouth compare this season

Stat	Wolves (home, 5)	Portsmouth (away, 6)	Championship average
Over 1.5	80% (4/5)	50% (3/6)	77%
Over 2.5	60% (3/5)	33% (2/6)	61%
Over 3.5	60% (3/5)	17% (1/6)	36%
BTTS	80% (4/5)	50% (3/6)	64%
Win %	40% (2/5)	33% (2/6)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	1.80	1.00	1.44
Goals against per game	1.40	0.83	1.44

Championship average from 132 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Wolves	7	18	11
Portsmouth	13	15	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in our records.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolves v Portsmouth?: Our model makes Wolves the more likely winner at 58%: Wolves 58%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 19%. Model expects 2.7 total goals.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wolves v Portsmouth?: Over 2.5 goals is 52% and under 2.5 is 48%, with expected goals of 2.7. Over 2.5 in 7 of 11 Wolves games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-0 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Wolves and Portsmouth played recently?: Latest first: Wolves WLLWW, Portsmouth WWLDD (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

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