Stoke City FC vs Preston North End FC prediction

Championship · Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK

Stoke City FC vs Preston North End FC prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UK): Stoke City FC 49% · Draw 27% · Preston North End FC 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.50–0.99. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 51%, No 49%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (9%).

Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Stoke vs Preston NE preview

Stoke (6th, 19 pts) host Preston NE (24th, 4 pts) in the Championship. Stoke have taken 10 points from their last 5 games (DWLWW) and Preston NE 2 points from 5 (DLLLD), so Stoke arrive in clearly better form. Preston NE have not won in their last 6 league games.

Our model favours Stoke at 49% to Preston NE's 25%. Expected goals are 1.50 for Stoke and 0.99 for Preston NE, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 55%, while 62% of Championship matches go over 2.5. In their last 5 meetings, Stoke won 1, Preston NE won 1 and 3 ended level; 2 had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 55%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.

Who will win Stoke City FC vs Preston North End FC?

Stoke City FC are favoured at 49%, but the draw and a Preston North End FC win together still account for 51%. Recent form: Stoke City FC DWLWWW, Preston North End FC DLLLDL (latest first).

Preston NE lost 5 of 6 away games this season.

Stoke City FC

49%

Draw

27%

Preston North End FC

25%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 45% and Under 2.5 is 55%.

Under 2.5 in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	71%	29%	1.40
2.5 goals	45%	55%	2.21
3.5 goals	24%	76%	4.18

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance: Stoke City FC score in about 78% of simulated outcomes and Preston North End FC in about 63%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 8 of 11 Stoke games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	51%	1.94
No	49%	2.06

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Stoke City FC win	49%	2.06
Draw	27%	3.72
Preston North End FC win	25%	4.07
Over 2.5	45%	2.21
Under 2.5	55%	1.83

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Stoke City FC goals (rows) × Preston North End FC goals (columns)
Stoke \ Preston	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9%	8%	4%	1%	0%	0%
1	12%	13%	6%	2%	1%	0%
2	9%	9%	5%	2%	0%	0%
3	5%	5%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

1-0

12%

2-0

2-1

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Stoke and Preston NE played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Stoke, last 5

Stoke, last 5 at home

Preston NE, last 5

Preston NE, last 5 away

Current streaks

Preston NE have not won in their last 6 league games.
Preston NE have lost each of their last 3 league games.

Championship games only, runs of three or more. Stoke and Preston NE.

How Stoke and Preston NE compare this season

Stat	Stoke (home, 5)	Preston NE (away, 6)	Championship average
Over 1.5	80% (4/5)	83% (5/6)	77%
Over 2.5	80% (4/5)	83% (5/6)	62%
Over 3.5	40% (2/5)	50% (3/6)	37%
BTTS	60% (3/5)	67% (4/6)	64%
Win %	60% (3/5)	0% (0/6)	39% home · 33% away
Goals for per game	2.00	0.83	1.45
Goals against per game	1.20	2.50	1.45

Championship average from 133 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Championship table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Stoke	6	19	11
Preston NE	24	4	11

Full Championship table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Stoke 1 win, 3 draws, Preston NE 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5; both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Fri, 20 Mar 2026	Championship	Preston NE v Stoke	3–1
Fri, 26 Dec 2025	Championship	Stoke v Preston NE	0–0
Sat, 5 Apr 2025	Championship	Preston NE v Stoke	1–1
Tue, 26 Nov 2024	Championship	Stoke v Preston NE	0–0
Sat, 9 Mar 2024	Championship	Preston NE v Stoke	1–2

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Stoke v Preston NE?: Our model makes Stoke the more likely winner at 49%: Stoke 49%, draw 27%, Preston NE 25%. Preston NE lost 5 of 6 away games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stoke v Preston NE?: Over 2.5 goals is 45% and under 2.5 is 55%, with expected goals of 2.5. Under 2.5 in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Stoke and Preston NE played recently?: Latest first: Stoke DWLWW, Preston NE DLLLD (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Championship predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

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