Bolton Wanderers FC vs Stoke City FC 
prediction
Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Stoke City FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Bolton Wanderers FC 44% · Draw 25% · Stoke City FC 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.61–1.33. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Bolton Wanderers FC vs Stoke City FC?
Bolton Wanderers FC are favoured at 44%, but the draw and a Stoke City FC win together still account for 56%. Recent form: Bolton Wanderers FC WWLLLL, Stoke City FC WWDWWL (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 56% and Under 2.5 is 44%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 80% | 20% | 1.26 |
| 2.5 goals | 56% | 44% | 1.77 |
| 3.5 goals | 34% | 66% | 2.94 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers FC win | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Stoke City FC win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 |
Form and head-to-head
Bolton Wanderers FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.5
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · ChampionshipBolton0 Lincoln City1Bolton0–1Lincoln City | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 1 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Sheffield Utd3Bolton2Sheffield Utd3–2Bolton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Millwall4Bolton0Millwall4–0Bolton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipBolton2 West Ham3Bolton2–3West Ham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipBolton1 Cardiff0Bolton1–0Cardiff | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Norwich3Bolton4Norwich3–4Bolton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Stoke City FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.8
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Championship Wolves4Stoke1Wolves4–1Stoke | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 1 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipStoke1Norwich0Stoke1–0Norwich | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipStoke4 Charlton0Stoke4–0Charlton | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipCardiff1Stoke1Cardiff1–1Stoke | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Watford1Stoke2Watford1–2Stoke | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipStoke2Sheffield Utd1Stoke2–1Sheffield Utd | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 0 meetings
No previous meetings in our records.
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- Bolton Wanderers FC
- Stoke City FC
- Championship predictions
- Championship Home win
- Championship Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
12:30 · Championship SwanseaNorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 30% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |