Levante UD vs Club Atlético de Madrid prediction

La Liga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UK

Levante UD vs Club Atlético de Madrid prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UK): Levante UD 22% · Draw 24% · Club Atlético de Madrid 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.11–1.84. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 55%, No 45%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%).

Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Levante vs Atleti preview

Levante (11th, 10 pts) host Atleti (2nd, 22 pts) in the La Liga. Levante have taken 5 points from their last 5 games (WDDLL) and Atleti 13 points from 5 (WDWWW), so Atleti arrive in clearly better form. Atleti are unbeaten in their last 5 league games.

Our model makes Atleti clear favourites at 54%, with Levante at 22%. Expected goals are 1.11 for Levante and 1.84 for Atleti, and the most likely score is 1-1 (11%).

The goal markets sit close to the La Liga norm: Over 2.5 at 57% and both teams to score at 55%. In their last 4 meetings, Levante won 1, Atleti won 1 and 2 ended level; 2 had over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 57%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Levante UD vs Club Atlético de Madrid?

Club Atlético de Madrid are clear favourites at 54%, with Levante UD at 22%. Recent form: Levante UD WDDLLD, Club Atlético de Madrid WDWWWW (latest first).

Atleti won 4 of 5 away games this season.

Levante UD

22%

Draw

24%

Club Atlético de Madrid

54%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 57% and Under 2.5 is 43%.

Over 2.5 in all 4 Levante home games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	80%	20%	1.25
2.5 goals	57%	43%	1.76
3.5 goals	34%	66%	2.92

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance: Levante UD score in about 68% of simulated outcomes and Club Atlético de Madrid in about 84%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 4 Levante home games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	55%	1.81
No	45%	2.23

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Levante UD win	22%	4.45
Draw	24%	4.25
Club Atlético de Madrid win	54%	1.85
Over 2.5	57%	1.76
Under 2.5	43%	2.31

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.0 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Levante UD goals (rows) × Club Atlético de Madrid goals (columns)
Levante \ Club	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6%	9%	9%	5%	3%	1%
1	5%	11%	10%	6%	3%	1%
2	3%	6%	5%	3%	2%	1%
3	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	0%
4	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

11%

1-2

10%

0-1

0-2

1-3

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Levante and Atleti played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Current streaks

Atleti are unbeaten in their last 5 league games.
Atleti have won each of their last 5 league games.
Levante: both teams scored in each of their last 5 league games.
Levante: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 5 league games.
Levante are unbeaten in their last 3 league games.

La Liga games only, runs of three or more. Levante and Atleti.

How Levante and Atleti compare this season

Stat	Levante (home, 4)	Atleti (away, 5)	La Liga average
Over 1.5	100% (4/4)	80% (4/5)	77%
Over 2.5	100% (4/4)	80% (4/5)	56%
Over 3.5	100% (4/4)	20% (1/5)	39%
BTTS	100% (4/4)	40% (2/5)	60%
Win %	50% (2/4)	80% (4/5)	43% home · 28% away
Goals for per game	3.25	1.80	1.53
Goals against per game	2.50	1.00	1.53

La Liga average from 90 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

La Liga table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Levante	11	10	9
Atleti	2	22	9

Full La Liga table

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Levante 1 win, 2 draws, Atleti 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4; both teams scored in 2 of 4.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sat, 31 Jan 2026	La Liga	Levante v Atleti	0–0
Sat, 8 Nov 2025	La Liga	Atleti v Levante	3–1
Wed, 16 Feb 2022	La Liga	Atleti v Levante	0–1
Thu, 28 Oct 2021	La Liga	Levante v Atleti	2–2

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Levante v Atleti?: Our model makes Atleti the more likely winner at 54%: Levante 22%, draw 24%, Atleti 54%. Atleti won 4 of 5 away games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Levante v Atleti?: Over 2.5 goals is 57% and under 2.5 is 43%, with expected goals of 3.0. Over 2.5 in all 4 Levante home games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Levante and Atleti played recently?: Latest first: Levante WDDLL, Atleti WDWWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming La Liga predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

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Sun, 25 Oct 2026
13:00 · La LigaLa LigaAthleticvGetafe	U3.590%	45%	33%	22%	53%	26%	10%	46%	26%	53%	10%	46%
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