Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid 
prediction
La Liga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:15 UK
Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:15 UK): Deportivo Alavés 25% · Draw 26% · Club Atlético de Madrid 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.10–1.62. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid?
Club Atlético de Madrid are favoured at 49%, but the draw and a Deportivo Alavés win together still account for 51%. Recent form: Deportivo Alavés DLLWWD, Club Atlético de Madrid WWWLLW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 51% and Under 2.5 is 49%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 76% | 24% | 1.32 |
| 2.5 goals | 51% | 49% | 1.96 |
| 3.5 goals | 29% | 71% | 3.45 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 25% | 3.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid win | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 30 Aug 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · La LigaAlavés1Atleti1Alavés1–1Atleti | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 18 Jan 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · La LigaAtleti1Alavés0Atleti1–0Alavés | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Deportivo Alavés — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | Athletic Club | Away | 0–0 | D |
| Tue, 15 Sept 2026 | Valencia CF | Home | 0–1 | L |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | Real Racing Club de Santander | Away | 1–2 | L |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | CA Osasuna | Home | 5–2 | W |
| Fri, 28 Aug 2026 | Villarreal CF | Home | 1–0 | W |
| Thu, 20 Aug 2026 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Away | 1–1 | D |
Club Atlético de Madrid — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | Real Madrid CF | Home | 2–1 | W |
| Wed, 16 Sept 2026 | CA Osasuna | Home | 4–0 | W |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | Away | 3–0 | W |
| Wed, 9 Sept 2026 | Liverpool FC | Away | 1–2 | L |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | Athletic Club | Away | 0–3 | L |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | Sevilla FC | Away | 3–1 | W |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- Deportivo Alavés
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- La Liga predictions
- La Liga Home win
- La Liga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
12:30 · Championship Swansea NorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 31% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |