ProbaPredict

Real Sociedad de Fútbol crest Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD Levante UD crest prediction

La Liga · Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD prediction (Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK): Real Sociedad de Fútbol 51% · Draw 24% · Levante UD 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.83–1.24. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 56%, No 44%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Real Sociedad vs Levante preview

Real Sociedad (5th, 16 pts) host Levante (11th, 10 pts) in the La Liga. Real Sociedad have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (WWWLW) and Levante 5 points from 5 (WDDLL), so Real Sociedad arrive in clearly better form. Levante: both teams scored in each of their last 5 league games.

Our model favours Real Sociedad at 51% to Levante's 25%. Expected goals are 1.83 for Real Sociedad and 1.24 for Levante, and the most likely score is 1-1 (11%).

The goal markets sit close to the La Liga norm: Over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 56%. In their last 4 meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, Levante won 1 and 1 ended level; 1 had over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 59%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Levante UD?

Real Sociedad de Fútbol are favoured at 51%, but the draw and a Levante UD win together still account for 49%. Recent form: Real Sociedad de Fútbol WWWLWD, Levante UD WDDLLD (latest first).

Real Sociedad have won each of their last 3 league games.

Real Sociedad de Fútbol51%
Draw24%
Levante UD25%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 59% and Under 2.5 is 41%.

Over 2.5 in 7 of 9 Real Sociedad games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals81%19%1.23
2.5 goals59%41%1.69
3.5 goals37%63%2.73

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance: Real Sociedad de Fútbol score in about 84% of simulated outcomes and Levante UD in about 71%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 6 of 9 Real Sociedad games this season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes56%1.78
No44%2.29

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win51%1.97
Draw24%4.23
Levante UD win25%3.93
Over 2.559%1.69
Under 2.541%2.44

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.1 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Real Sociedad de Fútbol goals (rows) × Levante UD goals (columns)
Real \ Levante012345
05%5%4%1%0%0%
18%11%7%3%1%0%
28%10%6%2%1%0%
35%6%4%1%0%0%
42%3%2%1%0%0%
51%1%1%0%0%0%
Other1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-111%
2-110%
1-08%
2-08%
1-27%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Real Sociedad and Levante played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Real Sociedad, last 5
  1. W 5–2 at Málaga
  2. W 3–2 v Deportivo
  3. W 3–2 at Valencia
  4. L 0–3 v Atleti
  5. W 3–2 at Elche
Real Sociedad, last 5 at home
  1. W 3–2 v Deportivo
  2. L 0–3 v Atleti
  3. D 0–0 v Celta
  4. W 2–1 v Espanyol
  5. L 3–4 v Valencia
Levante, last 5
  1. W 3–1 v Athletic
  2. D 1–1 at Deportivo
  3. D 3–3 v Sevilla
  4. L 1–3 at Villarreal
  5. L 2–4 v Barça
Levante, last 5 away
  1. D 1–1 at Deportivo
  2. L 1–3 at Villarreal
  3. D 0–0 at Málaga
  4. D 0–0 at Osasuna
  5. L 0–3 at Espanyol

Current streaks

La Liga games only, runs of three or more. Real Sociedad and Levante.

How Real Sociedad and Levante compare this season

StatReal Sociedad (home, 4)Levante (away, 5)La Liga average
Over 1.575% (3/4)60% (3/5)76%
Over 2.575% (3/4)40% (2/5)56%
Over 3.525% (1/4)20% (1/5)39%
BTTS50% (2/4)40% (2/5)60%
Win %50% (2/4)0% (0/5)44% home · 28% away
Goals for per game1.250.401.54
Goals against per game1.501.401.54

La Liga average from 89 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

La Liga table

TeamPosPtsP
Real Sociedad5169
Levante11109

Full La Liga table

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Real Sociedad 2 wins, 1 draw, Levante 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 4; both teams scored in 2 of 4.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
Sat, 4 Apr 2026La LigaReal Sociedad v Levante2–0
Sat, 20 Dec 2025La LigaLevante v Real Sociedad1–1
Fri, 6 May 2022La LigaLevante v Real Sociedad2–1
Sat, 28 Aug 2021La LigaReal Sociedad v Levante1–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Sociedad v Levante?
Our model makes Real Sociedad the more likely winner at 51%: Real Sociedad 51%, draw 24%, Levante 25%. Real Sociedad have won each of their last 3 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Sociedad v Levante?
Over 2.5 goals is 59% and under 2.5 is 41%, with expected goals of 3.1. Over 2.5 in 7 of 9 Real Sociedad games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Real Sociedad and Levante played recently?
Latest first: Real Sociedad WWWLW, Levante WDDLL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

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