Aston Villa FC vs Fulham FC prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UK): Aston Villa FC 45% · Draw 27% · Fulham FC 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.52–1.17. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 57%, No 43%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
Aston Villa (12th, 8 pts) host Fulham (19th, 5 pts) in the Premier League. Aston Villa have taken 13 points from their last 5 games (WWWWD) and Fulham 8 points from 5 (WWLDD). Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 4 league games.
Our model favours Aston Villa at 45% to Fulham's 28%. Expected goals are 1.52 for Aston Villa and 1.17 for Fulham, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).
The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 57%. In their last 5 meetings, Aston Villa won 4 and Fulham won 1; 3 had over 2.5 goals.
Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 57%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.
Who will win Aston Villa FC vs Fulham FC?
Aston Villa FC are favoured at 45%, but the draw and a Fulham FC win together still account for 55%. Recent form: Aston Villa FC WWWWDW, Fulham FC WWLDDL (latest first).
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 4 league games.
Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance: Aston Villa FC score in about 78% of simulated outcomes and Fulham FC in about 69%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in 3 of 4 Aston Villa home games this season.
90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aston Villa v Fulham?
Our model makes Aston Villa the more likely winner at 45%: Aston Villa 45%, draw 27%, Fulham 28%. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 4 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aston Villa v Fulham?
Over 2.5 goals is 50% and under 2.5 is 50%, with expected goals of 2.7. Over 2.5 in 3 of 4 Aston Villa home games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Aston Villa and Fulham played recently?
Latest first: Aston Villa WWWWD, Fulham WWLDD (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Bournemouth
