Brentford FC crest Brentford FC vs Nottingham Forest FC Nottingham Forest FC crest prediction

Premier League · Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK

Brentford FC vs Nottingham Forest FC prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Brentford FC 48% · Draw 26% · Nottingham Forest FC 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.66–1.16. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 57%, No 43%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Brentford vs Nottingham preview

Brentford (6th, 10 pts) host Nottingham (16th, 6 pts) in the Premier League. Brentford have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (LDWDD) and Nottingham 4 points from 5 (DLLLW). Brentford: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 league games.

Our model favours Brentford at 48% to Nottingham's 26%. Expected goals are 1.66 for Brentford and 1.16 for Nottingham, and the most likely score is 1-1 (12%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 57%. In their last 5 meetings, Brentford won 2 and Nottingham won 3; 2 had over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 57%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Brentford FC vs Nottingham Forest FC?

Brentford FC are favoured at 48%, but the draw and a Nottingham Forest FC win together still account for 52%. Recent form: Brentford FC LDWDDD, Nottingham Forest FC DLLLWD (latest first).

Nottingham have not won in their last 4 league games.

Brentford FC48%
Draw26%
Nottingham Forest FC26%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 54% and Under 2.5 is 46%.

Over 2.5 in 3 of 4 Brentford home games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals78%22%1.28
2.5 goals54%46%1.87
3.5 goals31%69%3.19

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance: Brentford FC score in about 81% of simulated outcomes and Nottingham Forest FC in about 69%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in all 4 Nottingham away games this season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes57%1.74
No43%2.35

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Brentford FC win48%2.08
Draw26%3.84
Nottingham Forest FC win26%3.87
Over 2.554%1.87
Under 2.546%2.15

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.8 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Brentford FC goals (rows) × Nottingham Forest FC goals (columns)
Brentford \ Nottingham012345
07%6%4%2%0%0%
19%12%7%3%1%0%
28%10%6%2%1%0%
35%5%3%1%0%0%
42%2%1%0%0%0%
51%1%0%0%0%0%
Other1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-112%
2-110%
1-09%
2-08%
0-07%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Brentford and Nottingham played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Current streaks

Premier League games only, runs of three or more. Brentford and Nottingham.

How Brentford and Nottingham compare this season

StatBrentford (home, 4)Nottingham (away, 4)Premier League average
Over 1.5100% (4/4)100% (4/4)76%
Over 2.575% (3/4)75% (3/4)52%
Over 3.50% (0/4)50% (2/4)33%
BTTS50% (2/4)100% (4/4)52%
Win %50% (2/4)25% (1/4)40% home · 32% away
Goals for per game2.001.501.42
Goals against per game0.751.751.42

Premier League average from 75 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

TeamPosPtsP
Brentford6107
Nottingham1668

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Brentford 2 wins, 0 draws, Nottingham 3 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5; both teams scored in 2 of 5.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
Sun, 25 Jan 2026Premier LeagueBrentford v Nottingham0–2
Sun, 17 Aug 2025Premier LeagueNottingham v Brentford3–1
Thu, 1 May 2025Premier LeagueNottingham v Brentford0–2
Sat, 21 Dec 2024Premier LeagueBrentford v Nottingham0–2
Sat, 20 Jan 2024Premier LeagueBrentford v Nottingham3–2

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Brentford v Nottingham?
Our model makes Brentford the more likely winner at 48%: Brentford 48%, draw 26%, Nottingham 26%. Nottingham have not won in their last 4 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brentford v Nottingham?
Over 2.5 goals is 54% and under 2.5 is 46%, with expected goals of 2.8. Over 2.5 in 3 of 4 Brentford home games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 12%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Brentford and Nottingham played recently?
Latest first: Brentford LDWDD, Nottingham DLLLW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Related

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Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
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Other matches the same day

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Other matches the same day
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
12:30 · EFL ChampLincoln City FC crestLincoln CityBirmingham City FC crestBirminghamU3.574%33%27%40%48%73%26%53%
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13:00 · La LigaLevante UD crestLevanteClub Atlético de Madrid crestAtletiO1.579%23%24%54%56%79%34%55%
14:00 · Serie ABologna FC 1909 crestBolognaAC Monza crestMonzaO1.576%54%24%21%52%76%30%52%