Gil Vicente FC vs Vitória SC prediction (Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 20:15 UK): Gil Vicente FC 41% · Draw 30% · Vitória SC 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.22–0.98. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Mon, 26 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 48%, No 52%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%).
Gil Vicente (7th, 14 pts) host Vitória (11th, 8 pts) in the Primeira Liga. Gil Vicente have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (LWWDL) and Vitória 5 points from 5 (WLDLD). Vitória: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Our model favours Gil Vicente at 41% to Vitória's 29%. A draw is more likely than usual at 30%; 23% of Primeira Liga matches end level. Expected goals are 1.22 for Gil Vicente and 0.98 for Vitória, and the most likely score is 1-1 (14%).
The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 62%, while 55% of Primeira Liga matches go over 2.5. In their last 5 meetings, Gil Vicente won 1, Vitória won 3 and 1 ended level; 1 had over 2.5 goals.
Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 62%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.
Who will win Gil Vicente FC vs Vitória SC?
Gil Vicente FC are favoured at 41%, but the draw and a Vitória SC win together still account for 59%. Recent form: Gil Vicente FC LWWDLL, Vitória SC WLDLDL (latest first).
Our model gives both teams to score a 48% chance: Gil Vicente FC score in about 70% of simulated outcomes and Vitória SC in about 63%, and both need to happen.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
