Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC 
prediction
Primeira Liga · Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UK
Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC prediction (Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UK): Moreirense FC 34% · Draw 29% · Gil Vicente FC 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.14–1.19. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC?
This is close to a coin flip: Moreirense FC 34%, Gil Vicente FC 37%, with the draw at 29%. Recent form: Moreirense FC DWLLWL, Gil Vicente FC DLLDWW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 59%; Over 2.5 is 41%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 68% | 32% | 1.47 |
| 2.5 goals | 41% | 59% | 2.42 |
| 3.5 goals | 21% | 79% | 4.82 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC win | 34% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 |
| Gil Vicente FC win | 37% | 2.72 |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
Form and head-to-head
Moreirense FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.0
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Primeira Liga Arouca4Moreirense0Arouca4–0Moreirense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Casa Pia0Moreirense1Casa Pia0–1Moreirense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Fri, 4 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Porto2Moreirense1Porto2–1Moreirense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 9 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaMoreirense0 SL Benfica4Moreirense0–4SL Benfica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mon, 14 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaMoreirense3 Marítimo1Moreirense3–1Marítimo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Vitória1Moreirense1Vitória1–1Moreirense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Gil Vicente FC: last 6
Goals per game: 0.8
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 9 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Primeira LigaGil Vicente1 Rio Ave0Gil Vicente1–0Rio Ave | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mon, 24 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Primeira LigaGil Vicente2Casa Pia0Gil Vicente2–0Casa Pia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Famalicão0Gil Vicente0Famalicão0–0Gil Vicente | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaGil Vicente0 Acad. Viseu1Gil Vicente0–1Acad. Viseu | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Primeira LigaSL Benfica3Gil Vicente1SL Benfica3–1Gil Vicente | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Primeira LigaGil Vicente1Marítimo1Gil Vicente1–1Marítimo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 29 Aug 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Primeira LigaGil Vicente2Moreirense0Gil Vicente2–0Moreirense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 7 Feb 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Primeira LigaMoreirense1Gil Vicente2Moreirense1–2Gil Vicente | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- Moreirense FC
- Gil Vicente FC
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Primeira Liga Home win
- Primeira Liga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 9 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 · Brasileirão Série A Paranaense MineiroParanaensevMineiro | 47% | 27% | 26% | 46% | U3.5 75% | 72% | 25% | |
01:30 · Brasileirão Série A Fluminense CoritibaFluminensevCoritiba | 57% | 23% | 20% | 55% | O1.5 79% | 79% | 33% | |
01:30 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras BahiaPalmeirasvBahia | 61% | 23% | 16% | 49% | O1.5 75% | 75% | 28% | |