La Liga · Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna prediction (Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 20:00 UK): RC Deportivo La Coruña 42% · Draw 28% · CA Osasuna 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.38–1.15. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Mon, 26 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 53%, No 47%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (9%).
Published · Updated
By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.
Deportivo vs Osasuna preview
Deportivo (10th, 11 pts) host Osasuna (11th, 11 pts) in the La Liga. Deportivo have taken 2 points from their last 5 games (LDLDL) and Osasuna 4 points from 5 (WLDLL). Osasuna: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.
Our model favours Deportivo at 42% to Osasuna's 31%. Expected goals are 1.38 for Deportivo and 1.15 for Osasuna, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).
The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 54%, while 57% of La Liga matches go over 2.5.
Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 54%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.
Who will win RC Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna?
RC Deportivo La Coruña are favoured at 42%, but the draw and a CA Osasuna win together still account for 58%. Recent form: RC Deportivo La Coruña LDLDLD, CA Osasuna WLDLLL (latest first).
Osasuna lost 3 of 4 away games this season.
New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 46% and Under 2.5 is 54%.
Under 2.5 in 4 of 5 Deportivo home games this season.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 72% | 28% | 1.38 |
| 2.5 goals | 46% | 54% | 2.16 |
| 3.5 goals | 25% | 75% | 4.04 |
What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance: RC Deportivo La Coruña score in about 75% of simulated outcomes and CA Osasuna in about 68%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in 8 of 10 Deportivo games this season.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 |
| CA Osasuna win | 31% | 3.24 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Model expects 2.5 total goals.
| RC \ CA | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 1 | 11% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today
How have Deportivo and Osasuna played recently?
Latest first. Scores link to each match.
Current streaks
- Osasuna: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.
- Deportivo have not won in their last 6 league games.
La Liga games only, runs of three or more. Deportivo and Osasuna.
How Deportivo and Osasuna compare this season
| Stat | Deportivo (home, 5) | Osasuna (away, 4) | La Liga average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% (4/5) | 100% (4/4) | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% (1/5) | 100% (4/4) | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% (1/5) | 75% (3/4) | 37% |
| BTTS | 80% (4/5) | 75% (3/4) | 59% |
| Win % | 20% (1/5) | 25% (1/4) | 44% home · 29% away |
| Goals for per game | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| Goals against per game | 1.00 | 3.75 | 1.51 |
La Liga average from 98 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.
La Liga table
| Team | Pos | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Osasuna | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in our records.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Deportivo v Osasuna?
- Our model makes Deportivo the more likely winner at 42%: Deportivo 42%, draw 28%, Osasuna 31%. Osasuna lost 3 of 4 away games this season.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo v Osasuna?
- Over 2.5 goals is 46% and under 2.5 is 54%, with expected goals of 2.5. Under 2.5 in 4 of 5 Deportivo home games this season.
- What is the most likely score?
- 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How have Deportivo and Osasuna played recently?
- Latest first: Deportivo LDLDL, Osasuna WLDLL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Related
- RC Deportivo La Coruña
- CA Osasuna
- La Liga predictions
- La Liga table
- La Liga Home win
- La Liga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Upcoming La Liga predictions
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | O1.575% | 45% | 26% | 29% | 50% | 75% | 28% | 54% |
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
20:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | O1.582% | 60% | 22% | 19% | 59% | 82% | 37% | 55% |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
13:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | O1.579% | 22% | 24% | 54% | 56% | 79% | 34% | 55% |
15:15 · La LigaLa Liga  | U3.580% | 35% | 29% | 36% | 41% | 68% | 20% | 51% |
17:30 · La LigaLa Liga  | O1.581% | 64% | 21% | 15% | 59% | 81% | 36% | 54% |
20:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | O1.589% | 79% | 13% | 8% | 72% | 89% | 51% | 54% |
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Mon, 2 Nov 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 · Serie ASerie A  | O1.580% | 42% | 25% | 33% | 56% | 80% | 34% | 54% |
19:45 · Serie ASerie A  | O1.574% | 62% | 23% | 15% | 48% | 74% | 27% | 49% |
20:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.577% | 49% | 26% | 25% | 52% | 77% | 30% | 57% |
20:15 · PrimeiraPrimeira Liga  | O1.585% | 79% | 14% | 7% | 66% | 85% | 44% | 49% |
20:15 · PrimeiraPrimeira Liga  | U3.582% | 41% | 30% | 29% | 38% | 65% | 18% | 48% |