Fluminense FC vs SC Internacional prediction

Brasileirão Série A · Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 22:30 UK

Fluminense FC vs SC Internacional prediction (Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 22:30 UK): Fluminense FC 51% · Draw 27% · SC Internacional 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.53–0.94. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 49%, No 51%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (10%).

Published Wed, 21 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Fluminense vs Internacional preview

Fluminense (5th, 51 pts) host Internacional (17th, 32 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Fluminense have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (LLLWW) and Internacional 7 points from 5 (WLDWL). Internacional: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Our model favours Fluminense at 51% to Internacional's 23%. Expected goals are 1.53 for Fluminense and 0.94 for Internacional, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

Both teams scoring looks less likely than usual: 49%, against 59% across the Brasileirão Série A. In their last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, Internacional won 2 and 1 ended level; none had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 55%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Fluminense FC vs SC Internacional?

Fluminense FC are favoured at 51%, but the draw and a SC Internacional win together still account for 49%. Recent form: Fluminense FC LLLWWL, SC Internacional WLDWLW (latest first).

Fluminense won 11 of 16 home games this season.

Fluminense FC

51%

Draw

27%

SC Internacional

23%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 55%; Over 2.5 is 45%.

Under 2.5 in 10 of 16 Internacional away games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	71%	29%	1.41
2.5 goals	45%	55%	2.23
3.5 goals	24%	76%	4.25

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 49% chance: Fluminense FC score in about 78% of simulated outcomes and SC Internacional in about 61%, and both need to happen.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	49%	2.02
No	51%	1.98

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Fluminense FC win	51%	1.97
Draw	27%	3.76
SC Internacional win	23%	4.40
Over 2.5	45%	2.23
Under 2.5	55%	1.81

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Fluminense FC goals (rows) × SC Internacional goals (columns)
Fluminense \ SC	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9%	8%	4%	1%	0%	0%
1	13%	13%	6%	2%	0%	0%
2	10%	9%	4%	1%	0%	0%
3	5%	5%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

1-0

13%

2-0

10%

2-1

0-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Fluminense and Internacional played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Fluminense, last 5

Fluminense, last 5 at home

Internacional, last 5

Internacional, last 5 away

Current streaks

Internacional: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Brasileirão Série A games only, runs of three or more. Fluminense and Internacional.

How Fluminense and Internacional compare this season

Stat	Fluminense (home, 16)	Internacional (away, 16)	Brasileirão Série A average
Over 1.5	75% (12/16)	75% (12/16)	78%
Over 2.5	69% (11/16)	38% (6/16)	51%
Over 3.5	31% (5/16)	25% (4/16)	25%
BTTS	69% (11/16)	56% (9/16)	59%
Win %	69% (11/16)	19% (3/16)	47% home · 25% away
Goals for per game	1.81	0.94	1.33
Goals against per game	1.00	1.44	1.33

Brasileirão Série A average from 310 matches (2026). Average goals for per game is per team.

Brasileirão Série A table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Fluminense	5	51	31
Internacional	17	32	31

Full Brasileirão Série A table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Fluminense 2 wins, 1 draw, Internacional 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5; both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 3 May 2026	Brasileirão Série A	Internacional v Fluminense	2–0
Sat, 25 Oct 2025	Brasileirão Série A	Fluminense v Internacional	1–0
Mon, 2 Jun 2025	Brasileirão Série A	Internacional v Fluminense	0–2
Fri, 8 Nov 2024	Brasileirão Série A	Internacional v Fluminense	2–0
Fri, 5 Jul 2024	Brasileirão Série A	Fluminense v Internacional	1–1

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fluminense v Internacional?: Our model makes Fluminense the more likely winner at 51%: Fluminense 51%, draw 27%, Internacional 23%. Fluminense won 11 of 16 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense v Internacional?: Over 2.5 goals is 45% and under 2.5 is 55%, with expected goals of 2.5. Under 2.5 in 10 of 16 Internacional away games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Fluminense and Internacional played recently?: Latest first: Fluminense LLLWW, Internacional WLDWL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Brasileirão Série A predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Brasileirão Série A predictions

Mon, 26 Oct 2026
22:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série ACoritibavGrêmio	O1.578%	38%	26%	36%	78%	54%	32%	53%	54%	78%	32%	53%
23:00 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série AFlamengovMineiro	O1.574%	62%	23%	15%	74%	49%	27%	49%	49%	74%	27%	49%
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
22:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série ABragantinovChapecoense	O1.581%	65%	20%	15%	81%	59%	36%	51%	59%	81%	36%	51%
22:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série ASantosvPalmeiras	O1.574%	22%	25%	52%	74%	49%	27%	51%	49%	74%	27%	51%
Thu, 29 Oct 2026
00:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série AClube do RemovBotafogo	U3.574%	28%	27%	45%	74%	48%	26%	51%	48%	74%	26%	51%
00:30 · BrasileirãoBrasileirão Série ABahiavSão Paulo	U3.578%	44%	28%	28%	70%	43%	22%	50%	43%	70%	22%	50%

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