Venezia FC vs FC Internazionale Milano prediction

Serie A · Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK

Venezia FC vs FC Internazionale Milano prediction (Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK): Venezia FC 18% · Draw 20% · FC Internazionale Milano 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-2. Expected goals 1.14–2.21. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 55%, No 45%. Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%).

Published Wed, 21 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Venezia vs Inter preview

Venezia (20th, 3 pts) host Inter (1st, 19 pts) in the Serie A. Venezia have taken 3 points from their last 5 games (WLLLL) and Inter 10 points from 5 (WWLWD), so Inter arrive in clearly better form. Inter are unbeaten in their last 17 league games.

Our model makes Inter clear favourites at 61%, with Venezia at 18%. Expected goals are 1.14 for Venezia and 2.21 for Inter, and the most likely score is 1-2 (10%).

The goal markets sit close to the Serie A norm: Over 2.5 at 65% and both teams to score at 55%. In their last 4 meetings, Inter won all 4; 1 had over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 65%, which still fails about 3 times in 10.

Who will win Venezia FC vs FC Internazionale Milano?

FC Internazionale Milano are clear favourites at 61%, with Venezia FC at 18%. Recent form: Venezia FC WLLLLL, FC Internazionale Milano WWLWDW (latest first).

Venezia lost 3 of 4 home games this season.

Venezia FC

18%

Draw

20%

FC Internazionale Milano

61%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 goals is likely at 65%.

Over 2.5 in 6 of 7 Inter games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	85%	15%	1.18
2.5 goals	65%	35%	1.54
3.5 goals	43%	57%	2.32

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance: Venezia FC score in about 69% of simulated outcomes and FC Internazionale Milano in about 89%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 5 of 7 Inter games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	55%	1.82
No	45%	2.22

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Venezia FC win	18%	5.45
Draw	20%	4.91
FC Internazionale Milano win	61%	1.63
Over 2.5	65%	1.54
Under 2.5	35%	2.86

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.3 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Venezia FC goals (rows) × FC Internazionale Milano goals (columns)
Venezia \ FC	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4%	7%	9%	6%	3%	2%
1	4%	9%	10%	7%	4%	2%
2	2%	5%	6%	4%	2%	1%
3	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%
4	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	3% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-2

10%

1-1

0-2

0-1

1-3

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Venezia and Inter played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Venezia, last 5

Venezia, last 5 at home

Inter, last 5

Inter, last 5 away

Current streaks

Inter are unbeaten in their last 17 league games.
Inter: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 5 league games.
Inter: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 5 league games.

Serie A games only, runs of three or more. Venezia and Inter.

How Venezia and Inter compare this season

Stat	Venezia (home, 4)	Inter (away, 3)	Serie A average
Over 1.5	75% (3/4)	67% (2/3)	85%
Over 2.5	25% (1/4)	67% (2/3)	61%
Over 3.5	25% (1/4)	67% (2/3)	31%
BTTS	25% (1/4)	67% (2/3)	58%
Win %	25% (1/4)	67% (2/3)	48% home · 35% away
Goals for per game	0.75	2.00	1.49
Goals against per game	2.00	1.00	1.49

Serie A average from 71 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Serie A table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Venezia	20	3	7
Inter	1	19	7

Full Serie A table

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Venezia 0 wins, 0 draws, Inter 4 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 4; both teams scored in 1 of 4.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 12 Jan 2025	Serie A	Venezia v Inter	0–1
Sun, 3 Nov 2024	Serie A	Inter v Venezia	1–0
Sat, 22 Jan 2022	Serie A	Inter v Venezia	2–1
Sat, 27 Nov 2021	Serie A	Venezia v Inter	0–2

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Venezia v Inter?: Our model makes Inter the more likely winner at 61%: Venezia 18%, draw 20%, Inter 61%. Venezia lost 3 of 4 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Venezia v Inter?: Over 2.5 goals is 65% and under 2.5 is 35%, with expected goals of 3.3. Over 2.5 in 6 of 7 Inter games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-2 at 10%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Venezia and Inter played recently?: Latest first: Venezia WLLLL, Inter WWLWD (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Serie A predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Serie A predictions

Sun, 25 Oct 2026
11:30 · Serie ASerie AIntervFiorentina	O1.586%	72%	17%	11%	86%	67%	46%	53%	67%	86%	46%	53%
14:00 · Serie ASerie AAtalantavFrosinone	O1.579%	56%	23%	20%	79%	56%	34%	53%	56%	79%	34%	53%
14:00 · Serie ASerie AGenoavVenezia	U3.575%	39%	28%	33%	72%	46%	25%	51%	46%	72%	25%	51%
17:00 · Serie ASerie ALeccevJuventus	U3.582%	18%	28%	54%	65%	37%	18%	47%	37%	65%	18%	47%
19:45 · Serie ASerie AUdinesevMilan	O1.575%	26%	26%	48%	75%	49%	27%	52%	49%	75%	27%	52%
Tue, 27 Oct 2026
17:30 · Serie ASerie ASassuolovLazio	O1.576%	32%	27%	41%	76%	51%	29%	53%	51%	76%	29%	53%

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