US Sassuolo Calcio vs SS Lazio prediction (Tue, 27 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK): US Sassuolo Calcio 32% · Draw 27% · SS Lazio 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.25–1.45. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 53%, No 47%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%).
Sassuolo (13th, 8 pts) host Lazio (2nd, 19 pts) in the Serie A. Sassuolo have taken 4 points from their last 5 games (LLDLW) and Lazio 13 points from 5 (WWWWD), so Lazio arrive in clearly better form. Lazio are unbeaten in their last 8 league games.
Our model sees little between the sides: Sassuolo 32%, Lazio 41%. Expected goals are 1.25 for Sassuolo and 1.45 for Lazio, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).
Over 2.5 goals is 51%, below the Serie A rate of 61%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Serie A match. In their last 5 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, Lazio won 3 and 1 ended level; 1 had over 2.5 goals.
Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 53%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.
Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs SS Lazio?
This is close to a coin flip: US Sassuolo Calcio 32%, SS Lazio 41%, with the draw at 27%. Recent form: US Sassuolo Calcio LLDLWD, SS Lazio WWWWDW (latest first).
Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance: US Sassuolo Calcio score in about 72% of simulated outcomes and SS Lazio in about 77%, and both need to happen.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
