Eredivisie · Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UK
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UK): Feyenoord Rotterdam 75% · Draw 15% · Fortuna Sittard 10%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 2-0. Expected goals 2.76–0.93. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 58%, No 42%. Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%).
Published · Updated
By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.
Feyenoord vs Sittard preview
Feyenoord (1st, 23 pts) host Sittard (6th, 15 pts) in the Eredivisie. Feyenoord have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (LWWWW) and Sittard 8 points from 5 (DDWLW). Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
Our model makes Feyenoord clear favourites at 75%, with Sittard at 10%. Expected goals are 2.76 for Feyenoord and 0.93 for Sittard, and the most likely score is 2-0 (10%).
Both teams scoring looks less likely than usual: 58%, against 73% across the Eredivisie. In their last 5 meetings, Feyenoord won 4, Sittard didn't win any and 1 ended level; 1 had over 2.5 goals.
Feyenoord to win is the model's clearest call at 75%, which still fails about 2 times in 10.
Who will win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord Rotterdam are clear favourites at 75%, with Fortuna Sittard at 10%. Recent form: Feyenoord Rotterdam LWWWWW, Fortuna Sittard DDWLWW (latest first).
Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals is likely at 71%.
Over 2.5 in 4 of 5 Sittard away games this season.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 88% | 12% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 goals | 71% | 29% | 1.40 |
| 3.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 1.99 |
What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance: Feyenoord Rotterdam score in about 94% of simulated outcomes and Fortuna Sittard in about 63%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in 4 of 5 Sittard away games this season.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.35 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 75% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.75 |
| Fortuna Sittard win | 10% | 10.31 |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.48 |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Model expects 3.7 total goals.
| Feyenoord \ Fortuna | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 3 | 9% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 6% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today
How have Feyenoord and Sittard played recently?
Latest first. Scores link to each match.
Current streaks
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
- Feyenoord: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 8 league games.
- Feyenoord have won each of their last 5 league games.
- Sittard are unbeaten in their last 3 league games.
Eredivisie games only, runs of three or more. Feyenoord and Sittard.
How Feyenoord and Sittard compare this season
| Stat | Feyenoord (home, 4) | Sittard (away, 5) | Eredivisie average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 100% (4/4) | 80% (4/5) | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% (3/4) | 80% (4/5) | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% (3/4) | 80% (4/5) | 64% |
| BTTS | 50% (2/4) | 80% (4/5) | 73% |
| Win % | 50% (2/4) | 60% (3/5) | 32% home · 40% away |
| Goals for per game | 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.94 |
| Goals against per game | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.94 |
Eredivisie average from 85 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.
Eredivisie table
| Team | Pos | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 1 | 23 | 9 |
| Sittard | 6 | 15 | 9 |
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Feyenoord 4 wins, 1 draw, Sittard 0 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5; both teams scored in 2 of 5.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 3 May 2026 | Eredivisie | Sittard v Feyenoord | 1–2 |
| Wed, 17 Sept 2025 | Eredivisie | Feyenoord v Sittard | 2–0 |
| Sat, 12 Apr 2025 | Eredivisie | Sittard v Feyenoord | 0–2 |
| Sat, 30 Nov 2024 | Eredivisie | Feyenoord v Sittard | 1–1 |
| Sun, 14 Apr 2024 | Eredivisie | Sittard v Feyenoord | 0–1 |
90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Feyenoord v Sittard?
- Our model makes Feyenoord the more likely winner at 75%: Feyenoord 75%, draw 15%, Sittard 10%. Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 18 league games.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals in Feyenoord v Sittard?
- Over 2.5 goals is 71% and under 2.5 is 29%, with expected goals of 3.7. Over 2.5 in 4 of 5 Sittard away games this season.
- What is the most likely score?
- 2-0 at 10%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How have Feyenoord and Sittard played recently?
- Latest first: Feyenoord LWWWW, Sittard DDWLW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Related
- Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Fortuna Sittard
- Eredivisie predictions
- Eredivisie table
- Eredivisie Home win
- Eredivisie Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Upcoming Eredivisie predictions
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.581% | 44% | 25% | 32% | 59% | 81% | 36% | 59% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.585% | 52% | 22% | 25% | 64% | 85% | 42% | 60% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.591% | 55% | 20% | 25% | 76% | 91% | 56% | 64% |
15:45 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.583% | 24% | 23% | 53% | 61% | 83% | 39% | 59% |
19:00 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.577% | 42% | 26% | 32% | 53% | 77% | 30% | 57% |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
17:45 · EredivisieEredivisie | O1.584% | 40% | 24% | 36% | 63% | 84% | 41% | 61% |
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.584% | 46% | 25% | 29% | 62% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
12:30 · EFL ChampChampionship  | U3.574% | 33% | 27% | 40% | 48% | 73% | 26% | 53% |
12:30 · EFL ChampChampionship  | U3.577% | 48% | 27% | 25% | 44% | 70% | 23% | 51% |
12:30 · EFL ChampChampionship  | O1.578% | 55% | 24% | 22% | 55% | 78% | 32% | 54% |
13:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | O1.579% | 23% | 24% | 54% | 56% | 79% | 34% | 55% |