Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente '65
prediction
Eredivisie · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK
Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente '65 prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK): Fortuna Sittard 26% · Draw 24% · FC Twente '65 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.21–1.77. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 22:15 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 58%, No 42%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
Published · Updated
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente '65?
FC Twente '65 are favoured at 50%, but the draw and a Fortuna Sittard win together still account for 50%. Recent form: Fortuna Sittard WLWWLW, FC Twente '65 WWWDWW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 57% and Under 2.5 is 43%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 80% | 20% | 1.25 |
| 2.5 goals | 57% | 43% | 1.75 |
| 3.5 goals | 35% | 65% | 2.87 |
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance: Fortuna Sittard score in about 71% of simulated outcomes and FC Twente '65 in about 83%, and both need to happen.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard win | 26% | 3.88 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 |
| FC Twente '65 win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 26 Sept 2025 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Eredivisie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 21 Mar 2026 | |||||||||
| FT · Eredivisie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Fortuna Sittard — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | Willem II Tilburg | Away | 1–0 | W |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | AFC Ajax | Home | 1–5 | L |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ADO Den Haag | Away | 3–2 | W |
| Fri, 28 Aug 2026 | FC Groningen | Away | 3–2 | W |
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | AZ | Home | 0–2 | L |
| Sat, 15 Aug 2026 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | Home | 3–1 | W |
FC Twente '65 — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | PSV | Home | 3–2 | W |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ADO Den Haag | Home | 2–0 | W |
| Wed, 9 Sept 2026 | Telstar 1963 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | FC Groningen | Away | 2–2 | D |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | Away | 4–1 | W |
| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | PEC Zwolle | Home | 3–1 | W |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
| Fortuna \ FC | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 1 | 6% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| 2 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| 4 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Related
- Fortuna Sittard
- FC Twente '65
- Eredivisie predictions
- Eredivisie Home win
- Eredivisie Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 · Premier League | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | 50% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
| 12:30 · Championship | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | 50% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
| 12:30 · Championship | 44% | 26% | 31% | 54% | 55% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |