Angers SCO vs FC Lorient prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UK

Angers SCO vs FC Lorient prediction (Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UK): Angers SCO 29% · Draw 28% · FC Lorient 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.08–1.38. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 54%, No 46%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (9%).

Published Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK · Updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Angers SCO vs Lorient preview

Angers SCO (15th, 7 pts) host Lorient (7th, 11 pts) in the Ligue 1. Angers SCO have taken 4 points from their last 5 games (LLWDL) and Lorient 10 points from 5 (WWLDW), so Lorient arrive in clearly better form. Angers SCO: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Our model favours Lorient at 43% to Angers SCO's 29%. Expected goals are 1.08 for Angers SCO and 1.38 for Lorient, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 55%, while 63% of Ligue 1 matches go over 2.5. In their last 5 meetings, Angers SCO won 1, Lorient won 2 and 2 ended level; 1 had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 55%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Angers SCO vs FC Lorient?

FC Lorient are favoured at 43%, but the draw and a Angers SCO win together still account for 57%. Recent form: Angers SCO LLWDLW, FC Lorient WWLDWL (latest first).

Angers SCO lost 3 of 4 home games this season.

Angers SCO

29%

Draw

28%

FC Lorient

43%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 55%; Over 2.5 is 45%.

Under 2.5 in 2 of 3 Lorient away games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	71%	29%	1.41
2.5 goals	45%	55%	2.24
3.5 goals	23%	77%	4.28

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 54% chance: Angers SCO score in about 66% of simulated outcomes and FC Lorient in about 75%, and both need to happen.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	54%	1.86
No	46%	2.17

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Angers SCO win	29%	3.46
Draw	28%	3.60
FC Lorient win	43%	2.31
Over 2.5	45%	2.24
Under 2.5	55%	1.80

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

Share:X WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Angers SCO goals (rows) × FC Lorient goals (columns)
Angers \ FC	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9%	11%	8%	4%	1%	0%
1	9%	13%	9%	4%	1%	0%
2	5%	7%	5%	2%	1%	0%
3	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%
4	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

13%

0-1

11%

0-0

1-2

1-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Angers SCO and Lorient played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Angers SCO, last 5

Angers SCO, last 5 at home

Lorient, last 5

Lorient, last 5 away

Current streaks

Angers SCO: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.

Ligue 1 games only, runs of three or more. Angers SCO and Lorient.

How Angers SCO and Lorient compare this season

Stat	Angers SCO (home, 4)	Lorient (away, 3)	Ligue 1 average
Over 1.5	100% (4/4)	33% (1/3)	79%
Over 2.5	50% (2/4)	33% (1/3)	63%
Over 3.5	25% (1/4)	0% (0/3)	38%
BTTS	50% (2/4)	33% (1/3)	63%
Win %	25% (1/4)	33% (1/3)	44% home · 32% away
Goals for per game	1.25	0.67	1.52
Goals against per game	2.25	0.67	1.52

Ligue 1 average from 63 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Ligue 1 table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Angers SCO	15	7	7
Lorient	7	11	7

Full Ligue 1 table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Angers SCO 1 win, 2 draws, Lorient 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5; both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 15 Feb 2026	Ligue 1	Lorient v Angers SCO	2–0
Sun, 26 Oct 2025	Ligue 1	Angers SCO v Lorient	2–0
Sun, 5 Feb 2023	Ligue 1	Lorient v Angers SCO	0–0
Sun, 1 Jan 2023	Ligue 1	Angers SCO v Lorient	1–2
Sun, 16 Jan 2022	Ligue 1	Lorient v Angers SCO	0–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Angers SCO v Lorient?: Our model makes Lorient the more likely winner at 43%: Angers SCO 29%, draw 28%, Lorient 43%. Angers SCO lost 3 of 4 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Angers SCO v Lorient?: Over 2.5 goals is 45% and under 2.5 is 55%, with expected goals of 2.5. Under 2.5 in 2 of 3 Lorient away games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Angers SCO and Lorient played recently?: Latest first: Angers SCO LLWDL, Lorient WWLDW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Ligue 1 predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Ligue 1 predictions

Sat, 24 Oct 2026
19:45 · Ligue 1Ligue 1LensvParis	O1.576%	54%	24%	21%	76%	51%	29%	55%	51%	76%	29%	55%
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
14:00 · Ligue 1Ligue 1MonacovLille	O1.577%	44%	26%	30%	77%	53%	30%	56%	53%	77%	30%	56%
16:15 · Ligue 1Ligue 1MarseillevLe Havre	O1.579%	66%	20%	14%	79%	56%	34%	54%	56%	79%	34%	54%
16:15 · Ligue 1Ligue 1AuxerrevLe Mans	O1.575%	45%	27%	29%	75%	49%	28%	55%	49%	75%	28%	55%
16:15 · Ligue 1Ligue 1ToulousevTroyes	O1.578%	58%	23%	19%	78%	54%	31%	55%	54%	78%	31%	55%
16:15 · Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade RennaisvStrasbourg	O1.587%	48%	22%	29%	87%	68%	47%	61%	68%	87%	47%	61%

Other matches the same day