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Stade Rennais FC 1901 crest Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace RC Strasbourg Alsace crest prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UK

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace prediction (Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UK): Stade Rennais FC 1901 48% · Draw 22% · RC Strasbourg Alsace 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 2.00–1.53. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 07:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 61%, No 39%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Stade Rennais vs Strasbourg preview

Stade Rennais (6th, 13 pts) host Strasbourg (14th, 7 pts) in the Ligue 1. Stade Rennais have taken 9 points from their last 5 games (LWLWW) and Strasbourg 4 points from 5 (LLLDW). Strasbourg: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 15 league games.

Our model favours Stade Rennais at 48% to Strasbourg's 29%. Expected goals are 2.00 for Stade Rennais and 1.53 for Strasbourg, and the most likely score is 1-1 (9%).

The goal markets sit close to the Ligue 1 norm: Over 2.5 at 68% and both teams to score at 61%. In their last 5 meetings, Stade Rennais won 3 and Strasbourg won 2; 3 had over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 68%, which still fails about 3 times in 10.

Who will win Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace?

Stade Rennais FC 1901 are favoured at 48%, but the draw and a RC Strasbourg Alsace win together still account for 52%. Recent form: Stade Rennais FC 1901 LWLWWW, RC Strasbourg Alsace LLLDWW (latest first).

Stade Rennais won 3 of 4 home games this season.

Stade Rennais FC 190148%
Draw22%
RC Strasbourg Alsace29%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 goals is likely at 68%.

Over 2.5 in all 4 Strasbourg away games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals87%13%1.15
2.5 goals68%32%1.46
3.5 goals47%53%2.14

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 61% chance: Stade Rennais FC 1901 score in about 86% of simulated outcomes and RC Strasbourg Alsace in about 79%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 6 of 7 Strasbourg games this season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes61%1.64
No39%2.57

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win48%2.07
Draw22%4.49
RC Strasbourg Alsace win29%3.41
Over 2.568%1.46
Under 2.532%3.16

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 3.5 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Stade Rennais FC 1901 goals (rows) × RC Strasbourg Alsace goals (columns)
Stade \ RC012345
03%4%3%2%1%0%
16%9%7%3%1%0%
26%9%7%3%1%0%
34%6%5%2%1%0%
42%3%2%1%0%0%
51%1%1%0%0%0%
Other2% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-19%
2-19%
1-27%
2-27%
3-16%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Stade Rennais and Strasbourg played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Stade Rennais, last 5
  1. L 3–4 at Paris
  2. W 4–1 v Auxerre
  3. L 0–4 at Lyon
  4. W 1–0 v Marseille
  5. W 2–1 at Angers SCO
Stade Rennais, last 5 at home
  1. W 4–1 v Auxerre
  2. W 1–0 v Marseille
  3. W 3–2 v Le Mans
  4. D 2–2 v PSG
  5. W 2–1 v Paris
Strasbourg, last 5
  1. L 1–3 v PSG
  2. L 1–2 at Nice
  3. L 1–2 at Paris
  4. D 1–1 v Monaco
  5. W 6–2 at Troyes
Strasbourg, last 5 away
  1. L 1–2 at Nice
  2. L 1–2 at Paris
  3. W 6–2 at Troyes
  4. L 0–4 at Marseille
  5. W 2–1 at Brest

Current streaks

Ligue 1 games only, runs of three or more. Stade Rennais and Strasbourg.

How Stade Rennais and Strasbourg compare this season

StatStade Rennais (home, 4)Strasbourg (away, 4)Ligue 1 average
Over 1.575% (3/4)100% (4/4)79%
Over 2.575% (3/4)100% (4/4)63%
Over 3.575% (3/4)50% (2/4)38%
BTTS75% (3/4)75% (3/4)63%
Win %75% (3/4)25% (1/4)44% home · 32% away
Goals for per game2.502.001.52
Goals against per game1.252.501.52

Ligue 1 average from 63 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Ligue 1 table

TeamPosPtsP
Stade Rennais6137
Strasbourg1477

Full Ligue 1 table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Stade Rennais 3 wins, 0 draws, Strasbourg 2 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5; both teams scored in 2 of 5.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
Sun, 19 Apr 2026Ligue 1Strasbourg v Stade Rennais0–3
Sun, 2 Nov 2025Ligue 1Stade Rennais v Strasbourg4–1
Sun, 2 Feb 2025Ligue 1Stade Rennais v Strasbourg1–0
Sun, 25 Aug 2024Ligue 1Strasbourg v Stade Rennais3–1
Sun, 31 Mar 2024Ligue 1Strasbourg v Stade Rennais2–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Stade Rennais v Strasbourg?
Our model makes Stade Rennais the more likely winner at 48%: Stade Rennais 48%, draw 22%, Strasbourg 29%. Stade Rennais won 3 of 4 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stade Rennais v Strasbourg?
Over 2.5 goals is 68% and under 2.5 is 32%, with expected goals of 3.5. Over 2.5 in all 4 Strasbourg away games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 9%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Stade Rennais and Strasbourg played recently?
Latest first: Stade Rennais LWLWW, Strasbourg LLLDW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Related

Upcoming Ligue 1 predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Upcoming Ligue 1 predictions
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
19:45 · Ligue 1Racing Club de Lens crestLensParis FC crestParisO1.576%54%24%21%51%76%29%55%
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
14:00 · Ligue 1AS Monaco FC crestMonacoLille OSC crestLilleO1.577%44%26%30%53%77%30%56%
16:15 · Ligue 1Olympique de Marseille crestMarseilleLe Havre AC crestLe HavreO1.579%66%20%14%56%79%34%54%
16:15 · Ligue 1AJ Auxerre crestAuxerreLe Mans FC crestLe MansO1.575%45%27%29%49%75%28%55%
16:15 · Ligue 1Toulouse FC crestToulouseES Troyes AC crestTroyesO1.578%58%23%19%54%78%31%55%
16:15 · Ligue 1Angers SCO crestAngers SCOFC Lorient crestLorientU3.577%29%28%43%45%71%23%54%

Other matches the same day

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Other matches the same day
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
01:00 · BrasileirãoSantos FC crestSantosEC Bahia crestBahiaO1.578%42%26%32%54%78%32%53%
11:15 · EredivisieFortuna Sittard crestSittardSBV Excelsior crestExcelsiorO1.581%44%25%31%59%81%37%59%
11:30 · Serie AFC Internazionale Milano crestInterACF Fiorentina crestFiorentinaO1.586%72%16%11%68%86%46%53%
13:00 · La LigaAthletic Club crestAthleticGetafe CF crestGetafeU3.590%45%33%22%26%53%10%46%
13:30 · EredivisieNEC crestNECFC Groningen crestGroningenO1.585%52%22%25%65%85%43%60%