FC Lorient vs Paris FC 
prediction
Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK
FC Lorient vs Paris FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:45 UK): FC Lorient 42% · Draw 27% · Paris FC 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.41–1.19. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win FC Lorient vs Paris FC?
FC Lorient are favoured at 42%, but the draw and a Paris FC win together still account for 58%. Recent form: FC Lorient LDWLDL, Paris FC WDWWDW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 48% and Under 2.5 is 52%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 74% | 26% | 1.36 |
| 2.5 goals | 48% | 52% | 2.08 |
| 3.5 goals | 26% | 74% | 3.79 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
| Paris FC win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 3 Oct 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Ligue 1Paris2Lorient0Paris2–0Lorient | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 5 Apr 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Ligue 1Lorient1Paris1Lorient1–1Paris | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
FC Lorient — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | Le Mans FC | Away | 1–2 | L |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | Toulouse FC | Home | 2–2 | D |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | Racing Club de Lens | Away | 1–0 | W |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ES Troyes AC | Home | 1–2 | L |
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | OGC Nice | Away | 0–0 | D |
| Sun, 17 May 2026 | Le Havre AC | Home | 0–2 | L |
Paris FC — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Home | 2–1 | W |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais | Home | 0–0 | D |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | Olympique de Marseille | Away | 3–2 | W |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | OGC Nice | Home | 3–0 | W |
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | ES Troyes AC | Away | 0–0 | D |
| Sun, 17 May 2026 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | Home | 2–1 | W |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
12:30 · Championship Swansea NorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 31% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |