England Premier League correct score predictions & stats
Our Premier League predictions cover every upcoming match with home, draw, away and Over/Under goals probabilities.
A correct score prediction names the exact 90-minute result, such as 1-1 or 2-1; every other score loses. Correct score betting explained
14% is ProbaPredict's most confident correct score in the Premier League this week: 1-1 in Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC. Most likely scores usually sit at 10–13%, so most correct-score picks lose; use them to judge which results are plausible.
Out of 75 England Premier League matches played this season, the most common score is 0-1 (9 matches, 12%). Last season: 1-1 was the most common score, in 47 of 380 matches (12%), averaging 2.75 goals per game.
10 matches ranked by correct score probability; the highest is Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC at 14%.
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| 2nd | 3rd | Fair odds (top) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||||||||
16:30 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 14% | 0-1 9% | 1-0 9% | 7.36 | U3.574% | 34% | 28% | 37% | 47% | 74% | 26% | 56% |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||||||||
15:00 · Premier LgPremier League | 1-1 13% | 1-0 12% | 0-0 9% | 7.62 | U3.577% | 45% | 28% | 28% | 44% | 71% | 23% | 55% |
20:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 13% | 1-0 9% | 2-1 9% | 7.71 | O1.576% | 45% | 27% | 28% | 50% | 76% | 28% | 57% |
17:30 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 13% | 2-1 9% | 1-0 8% | 7.87 | O1.578% | 40% | 27% | 33% | 53% | 78% | 31% | 58% |
15:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 12% | 1-2 8% | 2-1 8% | 8.06 | O1.577% | 36% | 26% | 37% | 53% | 77% | 30% | 57% |
15:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 12% | 2-1 10% | 1-0 9% | 8.11 | O1.578% | 48% | 26% | 26% | 54% | 78% | 31% | 57% |
15:00 · Premier LgPremier League Bournemouth | 1-1 12% | 2-1 9% | 1-0 8% | 8.28 | O1.580% | 47% | 26% | 27% | 56% | 80% | 33% | 58% |
12:30 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 11% | 2-1 9% | 1-2 7% | 9.02 | O1.584% | 46% | 25% | 29% | 62% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
15:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 11% | 2-1 10% | 2-0 8% | 9.51 | O1.584% | 55% | 23% | 22% | 62% | 84% | 40% | 59% |
| Sun, 1 Nov 2026 | ||||||||||||
16:30 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 14% | 0-1 10% | 0-0 9% | 7.33 | U3.575% | 31% | 29% | 40% | 46% | 73% | 25% | 56% |
Premier League Correct score facts
- The most common Premier League scores last season (2025-26) were 1-1 (47, 12%), 2-1 (37, 10%), 0-1 (31, 8%), from 380 matches averaging 2.75 goals per game.
- The most common Premier League scores over the last five seasons (2022-23 to 2026-27) were 1-1 (176, 11%), 2-1 (142, 9%), 1-0 (123, 8%), from 1595 matches averaging 2.95 goals per game.
- This season, 0-1 is the most common Premier League score so far: 9 of 75 matches.
Our Premier League Correct score picks: 20% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 12% from 1,520). See the accuracy record.
How do our correct score predictions work?
A correct score prediction names the exact 90-minute result, such as 1-1 or 2-1. Every other outcome loses, so even the most likely score is unlikely. The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Our model rates every team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting newer matches more, adds home advantage, and gives every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10 a probability, with a small correction for low-scoring draws. The table shows the three most likely scores for each match, and each match page shows the full grid.
Fair odds are 100 divided by the percentage: a 12% score equals fair odds of 8.33. Bookmaker prices on correct scores usually carry a large margin, so real odds are often much shorter than fair. Treat these numbers as a guide to which results are plausible, not a forecast of the exact score.
New to this? Read: Correct score betting explained · What is BTTS?
These football predictions rank matches by probability while keeping the uncertainty visible.
More football predictions
Frequently asked questions
- What is the most common score in the Premier League?
- Out of 75 England Premier League matches played this season, the most common score is 0-1 (9 matches, 12%). Last season: 1-1 was the most common score, in 47 of 380 matches (12%), averaging 2.75 goals per game.
- What is the most likely Correct score pick this matchday?
- Liverpool v Arsenal 1-1 at 14% (fair odds 7.33). Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How accurate are your Premier League Correct score predictions?
- Our Premier League Correct score picks: 20% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 12% from 1,520). Every ProbaPredict pick is graded in public after full time, including the ones that lose.