ProbaPredict

Tottenham Hotspur FC crest Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Crystal Palace FC Crystal Palace FC crest prediction

Premier League · Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Crystal Palace FC prediction (Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK): Tottenham Hotspur FC 40% · Draw 27% · Crystal Palace FC 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.49–1.33. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 58%, No 42%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%).

Published · Updated

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace preview

Tottenham (17th, 6 pts) host Crystal Palace (14th, 7 pts) in the Premier League. Tottenham have taken 8 points from their last 5 games (WWDLD) and Crystal Palace 7 points from 5 (LWDLW). Tottenham: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Tottenham 40%, Crystal Palace 33%. Expected goals are 1.49 for Tottenham and 1.33 for Crystal Palace, and the most likely score is 1-1 (13%).

The goal markets sit close to the Premier League norm: Over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 58%. In their last 5 meetings, Tottenham won 2 and Crystal Palace won 3; 2 had over 2.5 goals.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 58%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Crystal Palace FC?

This is close to a coin flip: Tottenham Hotspur FC 40%, Crystal Palace FC 33%, with the draw at 27%. Recent form: Tottenham Hotspur FC WWDLDD, Crystal Palace FC LWDLWL (latest first).

Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 3 league games.

Tottenham Hotspur FC40%
Draw27%
Crystal Palace FC33%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 53% and Under 2.5 is 47%.

Over 2.5 in 5 of 7 Crystal Palace games this season.

LineOverUnderFair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals78%22%1.28
2.5 goals53%47%1.87
3.5 goals31%69%3.21

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance: Tottenham Hotspur FC score in about 77% of simulated outcomes and Crystal Palace FC in about 74%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 13 of 19 Tottenham home games last season.

BTTSOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes58%1.73
No42%2.37

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

MarketOur %Fair odds (from our probability)
Tottenham Hotspur FC win40%2.49
Draw27%3.72
Crystal Palace FC win33%3.03
Over 2.553%1.87
Under 2.547%2.15

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.8 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Tottenham Hotspur FC goals (rows) × Crystal Palace FC goals (columns)
Tottenham \ Crystal012345
07%7%5%2%1%0%
18%13%8%3%1%0%
27%9%6%3%1%0%
33%4%3%1%0%0%
41%2%1%0%0%0%
50%0%0%0%0%0%
Other1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)
1-113%
2-19%
1-08%
1-28%
0-17%

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Tottenham and Crystal Palace played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Tottenham, last 5
  1. W 2–0 at Chelsea
  2. W 3–1 v Coventry City
  3. D 1–1 at Man United
  4. L 2–3 v Aston Villa
  5. D 0–0 v Everton
Tottenham, last 5 at home
  1. W 3–1 v Coventry City
  2. L 2–3 v Aston Villa
  3. D 0–0 v Everton
  4. L 0–2 v Newcastle
  5. W 1–0 v Everton
Crystal Palace, last 5
  1. L 0–5 at Brighton
  2. W 3–1 v Nottingham
  3. D 0–0 at Leeds
  4. L 2–3 v Ipswich Town
  5. W 3–2 at Fulham
Crystal Palace, last 5 away
  1. L 0–5 at Brighton
  2. D 0–0 at Leeds
  3. W 3–2 at Fulham
  4. L 0–2 at Everton
  5. D 2–2 at Brentford

Current streaks

Premier League games only, runs of three or more. Tottenham and Crystal Palace.

How Tottenham and Crystal Palace compare this season

StatTottenham (home, 4)Crystal Palace (away, 4)Premier League average
Over 1.575% (3/4)75% (3/4)76%
Over 2.550% (2/4)50% (2/4)52%
Over 3.550% (2/4)50% (2/4)33%
BTTS50% (2/4)25% (1/4)52%
Win %25% (1/4)25% (1/4)40% home · 32% away
Goals for per game1.250.751.42
Goals against per game1.502.251.42

Premier League average from 75 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Premier League table

TeamPosPtsP
Tottenham1767
Crystal Palace1477

Full Premier League table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Tottenham 2 wins, 0 draws, Crystal Palace 3 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5; both teams scored in 2 of 5.

DateCompetitionMatchScore
Thu, 5 Mar 2026Premier LeagueTottenham v Crystal Palace1–3
Sun, 28 Dec 2025Premier LeagueCrystal Palace v Tottenham0–1
Sun, 11 May 2025Premier LeagueTottenham v Crystal Palace0–2
Sun, 27 Oct 2024Premier LeagueCrystal Palace v Tottenham1–0
Sat, 2 Mar 2024Premier LeagueTottenham v Crystal Palace3–1

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tottenham v Crystal Palace?
Our model makes Tottenham the more likely winner at 40%: Tottenham 40%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 33%. Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 3 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tottenham v Crystal Palace?
Over 2.5 goals is 53% and under 2.5 is 47%, with expected goals of 2.8. Over 2.5 in 5 of 7 Crystal Palace games this season.
What is the most likely score?
1-1 at 13%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Tottenham and Crystal Palace played recently?
Latest first: Tottenham WWDLD, Crystal Palace LWDLW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Related

Upcoming Premier League predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Upcoming Premier League predictions
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
16:30 · Premier LgSunderland AFC crestSunderlandLeeds United FC crestLeedsU3.574%34%28%37%47%74%26%56%
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
12:30 · Premier LgChelsea FC crestChelseaManchester United FC crestMan UnitedO1.584%46%25%29%62%84%40%60%
15:00 · Premier LgCoventry City FC crestCoventry CitySunderland AFC crestSunderlandU3.577%45%28%28%44%71%23%55%
15:00 · Premier LgBrentford FC crestBrentfordNottingham Forest FC crestNottinghamO1.578%48%26%26%54%78%31%57%
15:00 · Premier LgManchester City FC crestMan CityBrighton & Hove Albion FC crestBrightonO1.584%55%23%22%62%84%40%59%
15:00 · Premier LgAFC Bournemouth crestBournemouthLeeds United FC crestLeedsO1.580%47%26%27%56%80%33%58%

Other matches the same day

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time
Other matches the same day
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
12:30 · EFL ChampLincoln City FC crestLincoln CityBirmingham City FC crestBirminghamU3.574%33%27%40%48%73%26%53%
12:30 · EFL ChampStoke City FC crestStokePreston North End FC crestPreston NEU3.577%48%27%25%44%70%23%51%
12:30 · EFL ChampNorwich City FC crestNorwichWatford FC crestWatfordO1.578%55%24%22%55%78%32%54%
13:00 · La LigaLevante UD crestLevanteClub Atlético de Madrid crestAtletiO1.579%23%24%54%56%79%34%55%
14:00 · Serie ABologna FC 1909 crestBolognaAC Monza crestMonzaO1.576%54%24%21%52%76%30%52%